Inter Miami vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS Inter Miami - FC Dallas
Result
3:4
27/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.712.27
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
84% (397/471)82% (346/421)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.712.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.953.84
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2223
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
84% (397/471)82% (346/421)
Long passes
57% (31/54)45% (17/38)
Passes in final third
72% (71/98)66% (77/116)
Crosses
32% (7/22)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.301.04
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1113
Tackles
59% (13/22)73% (19/26)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
1633
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.841.95
Goals prevented
-0.16-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Moore S. ⚽,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Moore S. (Own goal),
  • 29', 2 - 1, Obando A. ⚽, Fray I. (A), Aviles T. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 56', 3 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
  • 58', Norris N. ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
  • 58', Show ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
  • 65', 3 - 2, Urhoghide O. ⚽,
  • 65', Falcon M. ↓, Allen N. ↑,
  • 65', Leo Afonso ↓, Redondo Solari F. ↑,
  • 69', 3 - 3, Julio Santos A. A. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
  • 75', Obando A. ↓, Allende T. ↑,
  • 75', Bright Y. ↓, Segovia T. ↑,
  • 81', 3 - 4, Pedrinho ⚽, Farrington L. (A),
  • 83', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • 88', Farrington L. ↓, Scott T. ↑,
  • 90+1', Acosta L. ↓, Ntsabeleng T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
50%		Draw
24.7%		FC Dallas
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 22.3% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 21.9% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Miami's form might have worsened.
  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Dallas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Dallas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Inter Miami - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.91 ↑
    (1.67)    		 3.86 ↓
    (4.32)    		 3.76 ↓
    (4.77)    		 4.8%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 54% – 99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Dallas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Inter Miami is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Sailor R. (Concussion)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Farfan M. (Leg Injury) Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Musa P. (Ankle Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter Miami won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Inter Miami won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - FC Dallas were as follows:
    22.01.2024 FC Dallas - Inter Miami 1:0
    06.08.2023 FC Dallas - Inter Miami 4:5
    08.04.2023 Inter Miami - FC Dallas 0:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    24.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Inter Miami 2:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Columbus Crew - Inter Miami 0:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Chicago Fire - Inter Miami 0:0 ✺
    09.04.2025 Inter Miami - Los Angeles 3:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    19.04.2025 Minnesota United - FC Dallas 0:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 FC Dallas - Seattle Sounders 0:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Atlanta United - FC Dallas 1:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 FC Dallas - Sporting Kansas City 2:1 ✺
    22.03.2025 Real Salt Lake - FC Dallas 0:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders28129750:401045
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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