New England Revolution vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New England Revolution - Inter Miami
Result
1:2
09/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.09
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
87% (383/441)87% (495/570)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.09
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1117
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
87% (383/441)87% (495/570)
Long passes
64% (25/39)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
72% (76/105)79% (81/103)
Crosses
18% (4/22)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.83
Throw-ins
1312
Fouls
1111
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
04
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.090.64
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Messi L. ,
  • 34', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Messi L. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Campana L. 🟨,
  • 55', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 62', Beason T. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 70', Langoni L. , Diaz L. ,
  • 75', Falcon M. 🟨,
  • 77', Bye B. , Urruti M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Gil C. ,
  • 81', Allende T. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 87', Suarez L. , Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
34.2%
Draw
25%
Inter Miami
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 25.5% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 25.4% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • New England Revolution - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.49)
    3.79
    (3.65)
    2.34
    (2.52)
    5.5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.74%94.56%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.
    • New England is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Inter Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in New England: Bono A. (Neck Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New England won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Inter Miami were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 6:2
    27.04.2024 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:4
    10.06.2023 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 3:1
    13.05.2023 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 2:1
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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