Result
4:1
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (545/628) | 89% (436/490) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (545/628) | 89% (436/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (37/57) | 59% (24/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (157/207) | 82% (116/142) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 3.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 29', Ceballos B. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Allende T. ⚽, Messi L. (A), Alba J. (A2)
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Alba J. ⚽, Messi L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Oyirwoth A. ↓, Langoni L. ↑,
- 46', Fofana M. ↓, Yusuf A. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Turgeman D. ⚽, Gil C. (A),
- 60', 3 - 1, Allende T. ⚽, Messi L. (A),
- 60', Rodriguez B. ↓, Segovia T. ↑,
- 63', 4 - 1, Alba J. ⚽, Segovia T. (A),
- 71', Campana L. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
- 77', Busquets S. ↓, Bright Y. ↑,
- 86', de Paul R. 🟨,
- 88', Falcon M. 🟨,
- 90', Allen N. ↓, Lujan G. ↑,
- 90', Fray I. ↓, Aviles T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Inter Miami
69.8% | Draw
16.8% | New England Revolution
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Inter Miami - New England Revolution Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.33) |
5.55 ↑
(5.2) |
7 ↓
(7.95) |
5.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Inter Miami - New England Revolution?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - New England (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 50%). New England (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4.
- Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- New England is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Inter Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Inter Miami is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Ruiz D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Silvetti M.
(International duty)
- There will not play in New England: Ganago I.
(Calf Injury)
Miller P.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Inter Miami: Obando A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in New England: Feingold I.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 2.8:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against New England Revolution?
Inter Miami has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New England Revolution won against Inter Miami?
New England Revolution has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - New England Revolution were as follows:
09.07.2025
New England Revolution
-
Inter Miami
1:2
19.10.2024
Inter Miami
-
New England Revolution
6:2
27.04.2024
New England Revolution
-
Inter Miami
1:4
10.06.2023
New England Revolution
-
Inter Miami
3:1
13.05.2023
Inter Miami
-
New England Revolution
2:1
Latest results of Inter Miami
Latest results of New England Revolution
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | New York City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
