New England Revolution vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New England Revolution - Inter Miami
Result
1:2
09/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New England Revolution - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.09
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
87% (383/441)87% (495/570)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.09
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1117
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
87% (383/441)87% (495/570)
Long passes
64% (25/39)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
72% (76/105)79% (81/103)
Crosses
18% (4/22)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.83
Throw-ins
1312
Fouls
1111
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
04
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.090.64
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Messi L. ,
  • 34', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Messi L. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Campana L. 🟨,
  • 55', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 62', Beason T. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 70', Langoni L. , Diaz L. ,
  • 75', Falcon M. 🟨,
  • 77', Bye B. , Urruti M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Gil C. ,
  • 81', Allende T. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 87', Suarez L. , Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
34.2%
Draw
25%
Inter Miami
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 25.5% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 25.4% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • New England Revolution - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.49)
    3.79
    (3.65)
    2.34
    (2.52)
    5.5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.74%94.56%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.
    • New England is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Inter Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in New England: Bono A. (Neck Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New England won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Inter Miami were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 6:2
    27.04.2024 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:4
    10.06.2023 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 3:1
    13.05.2023 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 2:1
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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