New England Revolution vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New England Revolution - Inter Miami
Result
1:2
09/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.09
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
87% (383/441)87% (495/570)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.09
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1117
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
87% (383/441)87% (495/570)
Long passes
64% (25/39)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
72% (76/105)79% (81/103)
Crosses
18% (4/22)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.83
Throw-ins
1312
Fouls
1111
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
04
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.090.64
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Messi L. ,
  • 34', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Messi L. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Campana L. 🟨,
  • 55', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 62', Beason T. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 70', Langoni L. , Diaz L. ,
  • 75', Falcon M. 🟨,
  • 77', Bye B. , Urruti M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Gil C. ,
  • 81', Allende T. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 87', Suarez L. , Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
34.2%
Draw
25%
Inter Miami
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 25.5% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 25.4% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • New England Revolution - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.49)
    3.79
    (3.65)
    2.34
    (2.52)
    5.5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.74%94.56%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.
    • New England is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Inter Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in New England: Bono A. (Neck Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New England won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Inter Miami were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 6:2
    27.04.2024 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:4
    10.06.2023 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 3:1
    13.05.2023 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 2:1
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders28129750:401045
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)