New England Revolution vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New England Revolution - Inter Miami
Result
1:2
09/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.09
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
87% (383/441)87% (495/570)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.09
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1117
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
87% (383/441)87% (495/570)
Long passes
64% (25/39)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
72% (76/105)79% (81/103)
Crosses
18% (4/22)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.83
Throw-ins
1312
Fouls
1111
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
04
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.090.64
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Messi L. ,
  • 34', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Messi L. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Campana L. 🟨,
  • 55', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 62', Beason T. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 70', Langoni L. , Diaz L. ,
  • 75', Falcon M. 🟨,
  • 77', Bye B. , Urruti M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Gil C. ,
  • 81', Allende T. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 87', Suarez L. , Martinez D. ,

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
34.2%
Draw
25%
Inter Miami
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 25.5% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 25.4% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • New England Revolution - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.49)
    3.79
    (3.65)
    2.34
    (2.52)
    5.5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.74%94.56%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.
    • New England is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Inter Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in New England: Bono A. (Neck Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New England won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Inter Miami were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 6:2
    27.04.2024 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:4
    10.06.2023 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 3:1
    13.05.2023 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 2:1
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

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