Inter Miami vs New England Revolution – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Inter Miami - New England Revolution
Result
4:1
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
surinameSurinameSCCN
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.170.67
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
87% (545/628)89% (436/490)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.170.67
xG on target (xGOT)
3.121.39
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
3915
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
78
Passes
87% (545/628)89% (436/490)
Long passes
65% (37/57)59% (24/41)
Passes in final third
76% (157/207)82% (116/142)
Expected assists (xA)
2.700.99
Throw-ins
136
Fouls
87
Tackles
57% (12/21)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5032
Clearances
715
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.393.12
Goals prevented
0.39-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 29', Ceballos B. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Allende T. , Messi L. (A), Alba J. (A2)
  • 45+3', 2 - 0, Alba J. , Messi L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Oyirwoth A. , Langoni L. ,
  • 46', Fofana M. , Yusuf A. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Turgeman D. , Gil C. (A),
  • 60', 3 - 1, Allende T. , Messi L. (A),
  • 60', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 63', 4 - 1, Alba J. , Segovia T. (A),
  • 71', Campana L. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 77', Busquets S. , Bright Y. ,
  • 86', de Paul R. 🟨,
  • 88', Falcon M. 🟨,
  • 90', Allen N. , Lujan G. ,
  • 90', Fray I. , Aviles T. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
69.8%
Draw
16.8%
New England Revolution
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.3% 17.9% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76% 16.6% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Inter Miami - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.33)
    5.55
    (5.2)
    7
    (7.95)
    5.3%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4.
    • Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • New England is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Inter Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Silvetti M. (International duty)
    • There will not play in New England: Ganago I. (Calf Injury) Miller P. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Obando A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Feingold I. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 2.8:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - New England Revolution were as follows:
    09.07.2025 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:2
    19.10.2024 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 6:2
    27.04.2024 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:4
    10.06.2023 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 3:1
    13.05.2023 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 2:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2