Inter Miami vs New England Revolution – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
surinameSurinameSCCN
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.170.67
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
87% (545/628)89% (436/490)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.170.67
xG on target (xGOT)
3.121.39
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
3915
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
78
Passes
87% (545/628)89% (436/490)
Long passes
65% (37/57)59% (24/41)
Passes in final third
76% (157/207)82% (116/142)
Expected assists (xA)
2.700.99
Throw-ins
136
Fouls
87
Tackles
57% (12/21)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5032
Clearances
715
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.393.12
Goals prevented
0.39-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 29', Ceballos B. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Allende T. , Messi L. (A), Alba J. (A2)
  • 45+3', 2 - 0, Alba J. , Messi L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Oyirwoth A. , Langoni L. ,
  • 46', Fofana M. , Yusuf A. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Turgeman D. , Gil C. (A),
  • 60', 3 - 1, Allende T. , Messi L. (A),
  • 60', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 63', 4 - 1, Alba J. , Segovia T. (A),
  • 71', Campana L. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 77', Busquets S. , Bright Y. ,
  • 86', de Paul R. 🟨,
  • 88', Falcon M. 🟨,
  • 90', Allen N. , Lujan G. ,
  • 90', Fray I. , Aviles T. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
69.8%
Draw
16.8%
New England Revolution
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.3% 17.9% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76% 16.6% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Inter Miami - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.33)
    5.55
    (5.2)
    7
    (7.95)
    5.3%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - New England (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 50%). New England (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4.
    • Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • New England is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Inter Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Silvetti M. (International duty)
    • There will not play in New England: Ganago I. (Calf Injury) Miller P. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Obando A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Feingold I. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 2.8:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - New England Revolution were as follows:
    09.07.2025 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:2
    19.10.2024 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 6:2
    27.04.2024 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:4
    10.06.2023 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 3:1
    13.05.2023 Inter Miami - New England Revolution 2:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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