Inter Miami vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
29/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MLS - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.340.45
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
88% (377/428)88% (387/442)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
2.340.45
xG on target (xGOT)
2.081.25
Total shots
126
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1921
Passes
88% (377/428)88% (387/442)
Long passes
55% (17/31)35% (9/26)
Passes in final third
81% (102/126)66% (48/73)
Crosses
50% (6/12)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.42
Throw-ins
1019
Fouls
2119
Tackles
64% (9/14)47% (8/17)
Duels won
3947
Clearances
911
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.252.08
Goals prevented
0.25-2.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Allende T. ,
  • 20', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 22', Weigandt M. 🟨,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Allende T. , Alba J. (A), Busquets S. (A2)
  • 31', Mercau N. 🟨,
  • 34', Allen N. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Haak J. , Moralez M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Shore J. , Wolf H. ,
  • 57', Weigandt M. , Fray I. ,
  • 57', Allen N. , Bright Y. ,
  • 60', Ojeda A. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 66', O'Toole K. 🟨,
  • 67', 3 - 1, Silvetti M. , Messi L. (A), Alba J. (A2)
  • 70', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
  • 72', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 74', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 82', Silvetti M. , Suarez L. ,
  • 83', 4 - 1, Segovia T. , Alba J. (A),
  • 87', Bright Y. 🟨,
  • 90', 5 - 1, Allende T. ,
  • 90+1', Moralez M. , Garfield Reid S. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
62.2%
Draw
20.7%
New York City
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 19.4% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 19% 18.9%

Inter Miami - New York City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.54
(1.54)
4.64
(4.87)
5.56
(4.9)
4.6%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Inter Miami - New York City?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 1.
    • Inter Miami is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • NY City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Sailor R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (Knee Injury) Parks K. (Leg Injury) Perea A. (Leg Injury)
    • We predict that Inter Miami will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - New York City were as follows:
    24.09.2025 New York City - Inter Miami 0:4
    22.02.2025 Inter Miami - New York City 2:2
    21.09.2024 New York City - Inter Miami 1:1
    30.03.2024 Inter Miami - New York City 1:1
    10.11.2023 Inter Miami - New York City 1:2
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of New York City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1FC CincinnatiBye
    2ByeColumbus Crew
    3Inter MiamiBye
    4ByeNashville SC
    5Philadelphia UnionBye
    6Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    7CharlotteBye
    8ByeNew York City
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    14ByeFC Dallas
    15Los Angeles FCBye
    16ByeAustin FC

    1/8-finals
    1FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew2 : 1
    2Inter MiamiNashville SC2 : 1
    3Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire2 : 0
    4CharlotteNew York City1 : 2
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers2 : 1
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders2 : 1
    7Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas2 : 0
    8Los Angeles FCAustin FC2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CincinnatiInter Miami0 : 4
    2Philadelphia UnionNew York City0 : 1
    3San Diego FCMinnesota United1 : 0
    4Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FC3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Inter MiamiNew York City5 : 1
    2San Diego FCVancouver Whitecaps1 : 3

    Final
    1Inter MiamiVancouver Whitecaps3 : 1