Result
5:1
29/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MLS - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (377/428) | 88% (387/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (377/428) | 88% (387/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 35% (9/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (102/126) | 66% (48/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -2.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Allende T. ⚽,
- 20', Moralez M. 🟨,
- 22', Weigandt M. 🟨,
- 23', 2 - 0, Allende T. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Busquets S. (A2)
- 31', Mercau N. 🟨,
- 34', Allen N. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Haak J. ⚽, Moralez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Shore J. ↓, Wolf H. ↑,
- 57', Weigandt M. ↓, Fray I. ↑,
- 57', Allen N. ↓, Bright Y. ↑,
- 60', Ojeda A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 66', O'Toole K. 🟨,
- 67', 3 - 1, Silvetti M. ⚽, Messi L. (A), Alba J. (A2)
- 70', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
- 72', Rodriguez B. ↓, Segovia T. ↑,
- 74', Haak J. 🟨,
- 82', Silvetti M. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Segovia T. ⚽, Alba J. (A),
- 87', Bright Y. 🟨,
- 90', 5 - 1, Allende T. ⚽,
- 90+1', Moralez M. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Inter Miami
62.2% | Draw
20.7% | New York City
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Inter Miami - New York City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54
(1.54) |
4.64 ↓
(4.87) |
5.56 ↑
(4.9) |
4.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Inter Miami - New York City?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Inter Miami (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 1.
- Inter Miami is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- NY City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Ruiz D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sailor R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in NY City: Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Martinez A.
(Knee Injury)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
Perea A.
(Leg Injury)
- We predict that Inter Miami will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against New York City?
Inter Miami has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Inter Miami?
New York City has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - New York City were as follows:
24.09.2025
New York City
-
Inter Miami
0:4
22.02.2025
Inter Miami
-
New York City
2:2
21.09.2024
New York City
-
Inter Miami
1:1
30.03.2024
Inter Miami
-
New York City
1:1
10.11.2023
Inter Miami
-
New York City
1:2
Latest results of Inter Miami
Latest results of New York City
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | New York City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
