Result
2:1
26/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Azerbaijan | Ictimai TV |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 6 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3, Viaplay 1 Urheilu |
 France | Canal+ Live 4 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, Prime Video Sportsbar IT |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+ |
 Malta | TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 6 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii Spor 1, Tabii |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (416/488) | 86% (451/527) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (416/488) | 86% (451/527) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 47% (14/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (82/105) | 78% (133/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 44', Dimarco F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Zielinski P. ⚽, Bonny A. (A),
- 59', Molina N. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
- 59', Gallagher C. ↓, Koke ↑,
- 59', Cardoso J. ↓, Pubill M. ↑,
- 64', Simeone D. 🟨,
- 65', Zielinski P. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
- 65', Bonny A. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
- 68', Baena A. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
- 68', Ruggeri M. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
- 72', Martinez L. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
- 72', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
- 79', Dimarco F. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Gimenez J. M. ⚽, Griezmann A. (A),
Chances of winning
Atlético Madrid
38.7% | Draw
28.2% | Inter Milan
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Atlético Madrid - Inter Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.35) |
3.44 ↓
(3.55) |
2.92 ↓
(2.98) |
3.3%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Inter Milan?
Users Predictions:
76 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 47 - 61.8%). Inter will win (votes: 8 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 50.9% – 72.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 18 - 47.4%). Inter (votes: 3 - 7.9%). Tie (votes: 17 - 44.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Atlético (1.43) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Atlético (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Atlético (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 42 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 21 - 50%). Inter (votes: 4 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 17 - 40.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Atlético has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Inter is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Inter has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético: Le Normand R.
(Knee Injury)
Llorente M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Inter: Darmian M.
(Calf Injury)
Di Gennaro R.
(Wrist Injury)
Dumfries D.
(Ankle Injury)
Mkhitaryan H.
(Muscle Injury)
Palacios T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético: Oblak J.
(Injury)
Simeone G.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Inter Milan?
Atlético Madrid has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Atlético Madrid?
Inter Milan has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Inter Milan were as follows:
13.03.2024
Atlético Madrid
-
Inter Milan
3:1
20.02.2024
Inter Milan
-
Atlético Madrid
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Latest results of Inter Milan
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
