Porto vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio do Dragão (Porto).

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Chances of winning

Porto
32.1%

Draw
29%

Inter Milan
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.6%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Porto - Inter Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.66)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	2.47 ↓ (2.58)	4.4% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Porto - Inter Milan?

Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 67 - 60.4%). Inter will win (votes: 21 - 18.9%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 20.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 51.3% – 69.5%. The data is statistically significant.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Porto is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Porto has already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (27%), a small chance of semis (10%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
Inter has already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (73%), a chance of semis (29%), a small chance of final (11%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has big quality 77, big importance 76, big match rating 76. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Porto: Evanilson (Muscle Injury) Joao Marcelo (Injury) Meixedo F. (Knee Injury) Otavio (Red Card)
There will not play in Inter: Dalbert (Knee Injury) Gosens R. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Porto: Joao Mario (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Inter: Correa J. (Thigh Injury) Skriniar M. (Back Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Porto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Inter Milan?

Porto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Porto?

Inter Milan has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Inter Milan were as follows:

22.02.2023 Inter Milan - Porto 1:0

Latest results of Porto

10.03.2023 Porto - Estoril Praia 3:2 ✺

04.03.2023 Chaves - Porto 1:3 ✺

26.02.2023 Porto - Gil Vicente 1:2 ✺

22.02.2023 Inter Milan - Porto 1:0 ✺

18.02.2023 Porto - Rio Ave 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Inter Milan

10.03.2023 Spezia - Inter Milan 2:1 ✺

05.03.2023 Inter Milan - Lecce 2:0 ✺

26.02.2023 Bologna - Inter Milan 1:0 ✺

22.02.2023 Inter Milan - Porto 1:0 ✺

18.02.2023 Inter Milan - Udinese 3:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Ludogorets	Din. Minsk	2 : 2, 1 : 0
3	Noah	Buducnost	2 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	Ferencvaros
5	TNS	Shkendija	1 : 2, 0 : 0
6	FCSB	Inter Escaldes	1 : 2, 3 : 1
7	Shelbourne	Linfield	1 : 1, 1 : 0
8	Bye	Qarabag
9	Lech Poznan	Bye
10	Egnatia	Breidablik	0 : 5, 1 : 0
11	Vikingur	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 1, 2 : 3
12	Bye	Crvena zvezda
13	Zalgiris	Hamrun	0 : 3, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
15	Pafos	Bye
16	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
17	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
24	Bye	Sturm Graz
25	Celtic	Bye
29	KuPS	Milsami	0 : 0, 1 : 0
30	O. Ljubljana	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 1
31	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
32	Virtus	Zrinjski	1 : 2, 0 : 2
33	Basel	Bye
37	Levadia	RFS	0 : 1, 0 : 1
38	Iberia 1999	Malmo FF	1 : 3, 1 : 3
39	FC Copenhagen	Bye
40	Drita	Differdange	3 : 2, 1 : 0
41	Feyenoord	Bye
44	Bye	Fenerbahce
45	Nice	Bye
48	Bye	Benfica
49	Rangers	Bye
50	Bye	Panathinaikos
51	Plzen	Bye
52	Bye	Servette
53	Brann	Bye
54	Bye	Salzburg
56	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Ludogorets	1 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Noah	Ferencvaros	3 : 4, 1 : 2
3	Shkendija	FCSB	2 : 1, 1 : 0
4	Shelbourne	Qarabag	0 : 1, 0 : 3
5	Lech Poznan	Breidablik	1 : 0, 7 : 1
6	Lincoln Red Imps	Crvena zvezda	1 : 5, 0 : 1
7	Hamrun	Dyn. Kyiv	0 : 3, 0 : 3
8	Pafos	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 0, 1 : 1
9	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
12	Bye	Sturm Graz
13	Celtic	Bye
15	KuPS	Kairat Almaty	0 : 3, 2 : 0
16	Slovan Bratislava	Zrinjski	2 : 2, 4 : 0
17	Basel	Bye
19	RFS	Malmo FF	0 : 1, 1 : 4
20	FC Copenhagen	Drita	1 : 0, 2 : 0
21	Feyenoord	Bye
22	Bye	Fenerbahce
23	Nice	Bye
24	Bye	Benfica
25	Rangers	Panathinaikos	1 : 1, 2 : 0
26	Plzen	Servette	3 : 1, 0 : 1
27	Brann	Salzburg	1 : 1, 1 : 4
28	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Semi-finals

1	Ludogorets	Ferencvaros
2	Shkendija	Qarabag
3	Lech Poznan	Crvena zvezda
4	Dyn. Kyiv	Pafos
5	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
6	Bye	Sturm Graz
7	Celtic	Bye
8	Kairat Almaty	Slovan Bratislava
9	Basel	Bye
10	Malmo FF	FC Copenhagen
11	Feyenoord	Fenerbahce
12	Nice	Benfica
13	Rangers	Plzen
14	Salzburg	Club Brugge KV

Final

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	Bodo/Glimt	Sturm Graz
4	Celtic	TBD #8
5	Basel	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14