Derby County vs Ipswich Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 07:31 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 31
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
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indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1, Sport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
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swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyExxen
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.031.27
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
15
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
37
Passes
82% (315/384)80% (258/321)
Yellow cards
34
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.031.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.761.40
Total shots
913
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
3029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
149
Passes
82% (315/384)80% (258/321)
Long passes
46% (24/52)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
66% (76/116)67% (73/109)
Crosses
25% (4/16)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.13
Throw ins
2417
Fouls
914
Tackles
71% (5/7)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5444
Clearances
2439
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
1.400.76
Goals prevented
0.40-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Travis L. (Own goal),
  • 13', Travis L. 🟨,
  • 30', Taylor J. 🟨,
  • 33', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Batth D. 🟨,
  • 63', Brereton Diaz B. , Banel J. ,
  • 63', Ozoh D. , Fraulo O. ,
  • 64', Burns W. , McAteer K. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Brewster R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 75', Taylor J. , Neil D. ,
  • 76', Azon I. , Hirst G. ,
  • 76', Clarke J. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Davis L. , McAteer K. (A),
  • 82', Brewster R. , Salvesen L. ,
  • 83', McAteer K. 🟨,
  • 90', Clark B. , Eames O. ,
  • 90+2', Travis L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Furlong D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
25.4%
Draw
27.5%
Ipswich Town
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 28.1% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 27.3% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Derby County - Ipswich Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.73
    (3.7)
    3.44
    (3.36)
    2.01
    (2.04)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Ipswich Town?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Ipswich will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 2 - 40%). Ipswich (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Derby (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 50%). Ipswich (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Ipswich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ipswich has had a series of home games.
    • Ipswich will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Morris C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Ipswich: Nunez M. (Injury) Philogene J. (Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Derby won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Ipswich Town were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Ipswich Town - Derby County 2:2
    01.04.2023 Derby County - Ipswich Town 0:2
    21.10.2022 Ipswich Town - Derby County 1:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Ipswich Town
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One