Result
0:2
01/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 39
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Derby County 27.7% | Draw 29% | Ipswich Town 43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Derby County - Ipswich Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.39 ↑ (2.94) |
3.27 ↑ (3.16) |
2.18 ↓ (2.43) |
5.9% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Ipswich Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ipswich will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Derby has the most likely position - 6 (26.67%), project points - 77, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), a small chance of promoted (11%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Ipswich has the most likely position - 3 (30.67%), project points - 92, currently - 75, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (62%), a good chance of promoted (58%), a small chance of win league (15%).
- This event has quality 38, importance 57, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 2.
- Derby is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ipswich is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ipswich will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Derby won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-15.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Ipswich Town?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Derby County?
Ipswich Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Ipswich Town were as follows:
21.10.2022
Ipswich Town
-
Derby County
1:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Ipswich Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Wigan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Barnsley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Lincoln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Cardiff | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rotherham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
11 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
12 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
17 | Mansfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
18 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
21 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
22 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two