Ipswich Town vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Portman Road (Ipswich).

Championship - Round 4
Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.77	1.48
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
81% (400/492)	60% (132/219)
Yellow Cards
2	7
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77	1.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.36	1.21
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
5	6
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
40	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
81% (400/492)	60% (132/219)
Long passes
44% (24/55)	27% (16/59)
Passes in final third
75% (157/208)	48% (39/82)
Crosses
19% (5/26)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.83	0.39
Throw-ins
22	16
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
60% (6/10)	55% (12/22)
Duels won
55	52
Clearances
23	41
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
1.21	2.36
Goals prevented
-0.79	0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Greaves J. ⚽,
35', Elder C. 🟨,
40', McAteer K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Morris C. (Pen),
54', Hirst G. 🟨,
55', Adams E. 🟨,
67', Travis L. 🟨,
68', Chaplin C. ↓, Szmodics S. ↑,
68', McAteer K. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
68', Hirst G. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Brewster R. ⚽,
75', Clark B. 🟨,
78', Cajuste J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
81', Travis L. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
81', Brewster R. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
85', Sanderson D. 🟨,
86', Davis L. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
90+1', Clark B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
90+5', Johnston M. ↓, Nyambe R. ↑,
90+6', Elder C. ↓, Batth D. ↑,
90+14', Ozoh D. 🟨,
90+15', Morris C. 🟨,
90+16', 2 - 2, Clarke J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Ipswich Town
61.7%

Draw
24.5%

Derby County
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

22.1%

18.3%

Ipswich Town - Derby County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)	3.86 ↓ (3.96)	6.77 ↑ (5.61)	5.6% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Ipswich Town - Derby County?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 67.4% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Ipswich (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2.
Ipswich has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Derby is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Derby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ipswich has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ipswich is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Ipswich: Al Hamadi A. (Calf Injury) Burns W. (Knee Injury) Clarke H. (Inactive) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P. (Hernia) Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Ebuka C. (Injury) Langas S. (Knee Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Derby County?

Ipswich Town has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Ipswich Town?

Derby County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Derby County were as follows:

01.04.2023 Derby County - Ipswich Town 0:2

21.10.2022 Ipswich Town - Derby County 1:0

Latest results of Ipswich Town

23.08.2025 Preston North End - Ipswich Town 1:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Ipswich Town - Southampton 1:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Bromley - Ipswich Town 2:1 ✺

08.08.2025 Birmingham City - Ipswich Town 1:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Auxerre - Ipswich Town 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Derby County

26.08.2025 Burnley - Derby County 2:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Derby County - Bristol City 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Derby County - Coventry City 3:5 ✺

12.08.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Derby County 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Stoke City - Derby County 3:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One