Result
28/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
45% | Draw
27.6% | Irapuato
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Atlético Morelia aligns with the current prediction.The ML Model estimate for Irapuato aligns with the current prediction.
Atlético Morelia - Irapuato Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2.05) |
3.33 ↑
(3.32) |
3.35 ↑
(3.34) |
8.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- Recent performances by Atlético Morelia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Irapuato's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Irapuato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Atlético Morelia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Irapuato?
Atlético Morelia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Atlético Morelia?
Irapuato has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Irapuato were as follows:
22.11.2025
Irapuato
-
Atlético Morelia
1:1
19.11.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Irapuato
0:0
18.10.2025
Irapuato
-
Atlético Morelia
0:3
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
