Result
2:0
28/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Armenta J. E. H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Palma A. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, del Campo R. ⚽, Moreno G. (A),
- 42', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 43', Zamora D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Andrade A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Sanchez B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nambo M. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 54', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 65', Pena R. 🟨,
- 66', Salazar J. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
- 66', Gamboa J. ↓, Santana C. ↑,
- 66', Sanchez B. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
- 72', Martinez J. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
- 80', Pasquel Colin R. 🟨,
- 82', Moreno G. ↓, Avila Jaimes H. E. ↑,
- 82', Dominguez M. ↓, Munoz Z. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Munoz Z. ⚽, del Campo R. (A),
- 87', Cruz C. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
- 87', Rangel J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
46.3% | Draw
26.6% | Irapuato
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Atlético Morelia - Irapuato Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.05) |
3.48 ↑
(3.32) |
3.41 ↑
(3.34) |
8.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Morelia - Irapuato?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Morelia will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In recent matches, Atlético Morelia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Irapuato has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Atlético Morelia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Atlético Morelia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Irapuato?
Atlético Morelia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Atlético Morelia?
Irapuato has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Irapuato were as follows:
22.11.2025
Irapuato
-
Atlético Morelia
1:1
19.11.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Irapuato
0:0
18.10.2025
Irapuato
-
Atlético Morelia
0:3
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
