Irkutsk vs Chelyabinsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Cup Irkutsk - Chelyabinsk
25/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch TV

Chances of winning


Irkutsk
11.4%
Draw
24.9%
Chelyabinsk
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.9% 25.8% 57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17% 25.6% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Irkutsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irkutsk's form might have worsened.
  • Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelyabinsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irkutsk than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irkutsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelyabinsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Irkutsk - Chelyabinsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.27
    (5.82)
    3.79
    (3.81)
    1.49
    (1.71)
    5.8%
    (1.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Irkutsk - Chelyabinsk?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Irkutsk will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Chelyabinsk will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Irkutsk (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Irkutsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chelyabinsk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chelyabinsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chelyabinsk is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Irkutsk
    21.09.2025 Zenit 2 - Irkutsk 1:0
    11.09.2025 Irkutsk - KDV Tomsk 3:0
    07.09.2025 Dynamo Vologda - Irkutsk 2:1
    24.08.2025 Irkutsk - Chertanovo 2:1
    Latest results of Chelyabinsk
    Russian Cup Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Zenit ✔ 4400012:512
    2Orenburg411025:85
    3Rubin Kazan410122:54
    4Akhmat Grozny410035:63


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Krasnodar4300111:59
    2Dynamo Moscow420117:67
    3Krylya Sovetov411114:46
    4Sochi401035:122


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Dynamo Makhachkala ✔ 431007:311
    2Spartak Moscow420118:37
    3Pari NN410032:73
    4FK Rostov410033:73


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow430018:39
    2CSKA Moscow420206:38
    3Akron Togliatti411024:75
    4Baltika401032:72

          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Regions Path ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Zenit is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
    Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )