Result
08/05/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Rodina Moscow
66% | Draw
21.4% | Chelyabinsk
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodina Moscow's performance.Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Rodina Moscow - Chelyabinsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.62) |
4.42 ↑
(3.9) |
7.5 ↑
(5.35) |
5.9%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 9).
- Rodina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Chelyabinsk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Rodina is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Rodina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Chelyabinsk?
Rodina Moscow has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelyabinsk won against Rodina Moscow?
Chelyabinsk has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodina Moscow - Chelyabinsk were as follows:
15.10.2025
Rodina Moscow
-
Chelyabinsk
0:1
20.09.2025
Chelyabinsk
-
Rodina Moscow
4:0
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Latest results of Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 3 | Ural | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 48:29 | 19 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 42:25 | 17 | 53 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Torpedo Moscow | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 32 | 8 | 15 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 39 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30:69 | -39 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
