Result
1:3
29/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 14
- Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (265/346) | 82% (300/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (265/346) | 82% (300/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (87/121) | 62% (63/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (11/38) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.55 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', Cafu ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
- 21', Opoku N. 🟨,
- 24', Szalai At. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Fayzullaev A. ⚽,
- 37', Selke D. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Harit A. ⚽, Kemen O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Szalai At. ↓, Diabate F. ↑,
- 53', Bulut O. ↓, Sahiner O. ↑,
- 55', Opoku J. 🟨,
- 58', Fall M. 🟨,
- 58', Sahiner O. 🟨,
- 64', Ustundag C. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
- 64', Fall M. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
- 72', Harit A. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
- 72', Gunes U. ↓, Ozdemir B. ↑,
- 75', Selke D. 🟨,
- 78', Duarte L. 🟨,
- 78', Kemen O. ↓, Crespo M. ↑,
- 78', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Gureler H. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Arous A. ⚽, Diabate F. (A),
- 90+3', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa
30.4% | Draw
27.6% | İstanbul Başakşehir
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Kasımpaşa - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↑
(2.88) |
3.42 ↓
(3.49) |
2.27 ↓
(2.35) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 0.
- Recent form of Kasımpaşa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Başakşehir has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Başakşehir will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
Yanar A.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Ba O.
(Yellow Cards)
Ebosele F.
(Red Card)
Operi C.
(Inactive)
Sari Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Başakşehir: Gureler H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 27:46. (average 1.4:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Kasımpaşa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Kasımpaşa?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
18.05.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:3
23.12.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Kasımpaşa
2:2
05.05.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Kasımpaşa
4:1
09.01.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
0:3
21.01.2023
Kasımpaşa
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:3
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 55:17 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 23 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 52:21 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 48 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 44:29 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Konyaspor | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 23 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20:42 | -22 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
