İstanbul Başakşehir vs Rapid Wien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/10/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalySky Calcio 1
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenDisney+
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 3, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
worldWorldDisney+, Prima+ app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.11
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
1511
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
43
Free Kicks
149
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
32
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Fouls
512
Yellow Cards
03
Total Passes
523455
Completed Passes
447360
Crosses Completed
92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 41', Raux Yao S. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Schaub L. , Beljo D. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Piatek K. , Gurler S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 2, Schaub L. , Burgstaller G. (A),
  • 59', Burgstaller G. 🟨,
  • 62', Crespo M. , Ozcan B. ,
  • 62', Figueiredo J. , Pelkas D. ,
  • 66', Seidl M. 🟨,
  • 75', Turuc D. , Lima L. ,
  • 75', Gurler S. , Davidson ,
  • 82', Schaub L. , Hofmann M. ,
  • 82', Beljo D. , Wurmbrand N. ,
  • 83', Ozdemir B. , Keny P. P. ,
  • 87', Sangare M. , Borkeeiet T. ,
  • 90+5', Burgstaller G. , Bischof N. ,

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
39.5%
Draw
26.9%
Rapid Wien
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 26.1% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 25.9% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbul Başakşehir's form might have worsened.
  • Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rapid Wien's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rapid Wien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Rapid Wien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.03)
    3.51
    (3.59)
    2.85
    (3.38)
    5.3%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Rapid Wien?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Rapid will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 43.1%81.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Başakşehir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Başakşehir will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Sahiner O. (Muscle Injury) Szysz P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rapid: Druijf F. (Knee Injury) Gale T. (Injury) Scholler J. M. (Injury) Seydi I. (Injury) Zimmermann B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rapid: Dursun F. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Rapid Wien
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2