Kocaelispor vs İstanbulspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Kocaelispor - İstanbulspor
Result
1:1
03/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 27
  • Referee: Celik D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.02
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
189
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
93
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
54
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
168
Offsides
21
Fouls
816
Yellow Cards
35
Throw-ins
2729
Touches in the Opposition Box
2823
Passes
76% (250/327)80% (335/420)
Passes in the final third
63% (72/115)60% (48/80)
Crosses
31% (5/16)47% (8/17)
Tackles
71% (17/24)72% (13/18)
Clearances Total
2635
Interceptions
146

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Aydin D. 🟨,
  • 38', Coly R. 🟨,
  • 42', Tutar A. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Caglayan O. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', Marcao , Sagat A. ,
  • 74', Aydin D. , Sen K. ,
  • 74', Tultak F. , Aksu D. ,
  • 74', Sambissa D. , Gultekin E. ,
  • 77', Vukovic J. , Celik C. ,
  • 79', Rivas R. 🟨,
  • 84', Diarra G. , Sahan O. ,
  • 84', Bahadir Y. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 86', Pedrinho , Serbest T. ,
  • 86', Rivas R. , Gedik F. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Ozcan S. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gultekin E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Degirmenci G. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Loshaj F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
56.5%
Draw
25.2%
İstanbulspor
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 25.8% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 24.9% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kocaelispor's performance.
  • İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbulspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kocaelispor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbulspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kocaelispor - İstanbulspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.85)
    3.71
    (3.55)
    5.13
    (3.7)
    6.6%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - İstanbulspor?
  • Users Predictions: Kocaelispor will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Kocaelispor in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches İstanbulspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • İstanbulspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Kocaelispor: Gedik E. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in İstanbulspor: Samdanli T. (Knee Injury) Vardar B. (Illness)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - İstanbulspor were as follows:
    06.10.2024 İstanbulspor - Kocaelispor 0:3
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    15.02.2025 Kocaelispor - Çorum 2:0
    11.02.2025 Manisa FK - Kocaelispor 0:2
    08.02.2025 Kocaelispor - Amed SK 1:0
    Latest results of İstanbulspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corum33007:169
    2Vanspor FK22004:226
    3Erzurumspor21104:224
    4Pendikspor21103:124
    5Keciorengucu21103:124
    6Sakaryaspor21104:314
    7Serik Spor21101:014
    8Igdir FK21014:403
    9Manisa FK21013:303
    10Umraniyespor21012:203
    11Bodrumspor20202:202
    12Istanbulspor AS20200:002
    13Boluspor20113:4-11
    14Erokspor20112:3-11
    15Sariyer30123:5-21
    16Amedspor20112:4-21
    17Sivasspor20111:3-21
    18Bandirmaspor20111:3-21
    19Hatayspor20022:5-30
    20Adana Demirspor20112:5-3-5

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation