Manisa FK vs İstanbulspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.331.97
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
45
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
55
Passes
76% (224/294)86% (434/507)
Yellow cards
62
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.331.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.901.68
Total shots
915
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
812
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1110
Passes
76% (224/294)86% (434/507)
Long passes
29% (17/58)61% (39/64)
Passes in final third
62% (51/82)62% (68/109)
Crosses
23% (3/13)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.81
Throw ins
1931
Fouls
1011
Tackles
64% (9/14)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3543
Clearances
2419
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
1.680.90
Goals prevented
0.68-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Karapo A. 🟨,
  • 28', Ozer Y. 🟨,
  • 32', Gureler Y. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Talum Y. , Adekanye B. (A),
  • 45+1', Sambissa D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mamadou M. , Dayakli I. ,
  • 46', Duymaz O. F. , Sol M. ,
  • 49', Gultekin E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 52', Talum Y. 🟨,
  • 61', Erdem U. , Kiprit M. ,
  • 67', Adekanye B. , Vargas A. ,
  • 80', Gultekin E. , Cham A. ,
  • 80', Sambissa D. , Duhaney D. ,
  • 85', Loshaj F. , Krstovski M. ,
  • 86', Dalci M. 🟨,
  • 90', Karakus V. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lindseth J. , Ibik A. ,
  • 90+7', Talum Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manisa FK
45.7%
Draw
24.7%
İstanbulspor
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 24.1% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 23.1% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbulspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Manisa FK - İstanbulspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.28)
    3.77
    (3.85)
    3.14
    (2.63)
    7.7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Manisa FK - İstanbulspor?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Manisa (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Manisa (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Manisa (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 13).
    • Manisa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, İstanbulspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • İstanbulspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Manisa: Benrahou Y. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aksu D. (Knee Injury) Aydin D. (Knee Injury) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Vardar B. (Illness) Yilmaz A. S. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in İstanbulspor: Temel V. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - İstanbulspor were as follows:
    25.08.2025 İstanbulspor - Manisa FK 1:1
    19.01.2025 Manisa FK - İstanbulspor 0:1
    10.08.2024 İstanbulspor - Manisa FK 3:2
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    17.01.2026 Hatayspor - Manisa FK 2:2
    12.01.2026 Manisa FK - Umraniyespor 1:0
    26.12.2025 Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK 0:2
    Latest results of İstanbulspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor35239379:245578
    2Amedspor34218575:344171
    3Erokspor341910577:324567
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3513111144:38650
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Istanbulspor AS3510131243:52-943
    15Boluspor351261752:54-242
    16Umraniyespor341261640:42-242
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor34891743:60-1733
    19Hatayspor35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to