Serik Belediyespor vs İstanbulspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
10/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 20
  • Referee: Suleyman B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.482.38
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
24
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
28
Passes
81% (281/347)87% (483/554)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
0.482.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.041.68
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
49
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1631
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free kicks
58
Passes
81% (281/347)87% (483/554)
Long passes
36% (16/45)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
63% (37/59)74% (112/151)
Crosses
43% (3/7)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.371.43
Throw ins
1620
Fouls
85
Tackles
71% (10/14)79% (22/28)
Duels won
3249
Clearances
2910
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.680.04
Goals prevented
-0.320.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Mamadou M. ,
  • 21', Guibero R. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Ersu E. (Own goal),
  • 39', Asan B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Akkan G. , Skvortsov L. ,
  • 46', Sadygov I. , Adeola R. ,
  • 64', 0 - 3, Gultekin E. , Sambissa D. (A),
  • 66', Duymaz O. F. , Temel V. ,
  • 66', Guibero R. , Terzi E. ,
  • 67', Mamadou M. , Krstovski M. ,
  • 77', Asan B. , Nefiz E. ,
  • 77', Altiparmak G. , Spasov G. ,
  • 79', Gultekin E. , Cham A. ,
  • 79', Uzunhan E. , Tultak F. ,
  • 84', Tashkyn S. 🟨,
  • 85', Loshaj F. , Dayakli I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Serik Belediyespor
10.8%
Draw
17.2%
İstanbulspor
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 28.2% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 26.8% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serik Belediyespor's form might have worsened.
  • İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbulspor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-29.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbulspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Serik Belediyespor - İstanbulspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.63
    (2.95)
    5.4
    (3.25)
    1.29
    (2.25)
    7.7%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Serik Belediyespor - İstanbulspor?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). İstanbulspor will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 63.8%92.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Serik Belediyespor (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbulspor will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor (votes: 2 - 12.5%). İstanbulspor (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 14).
    • Recent form of Serik Belediyespor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • İstanbulspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, İstanbulspor is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Dilli S. (Suspended) Ozcan S. (Red Card) Tunali M. (Suspended) Yucedag E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aydin D. (Knee Injury) Kabadayi K. (Suspended) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Vardar B. (Illness) Yilmaz A. S. (Suspended)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Serik Belediyespor - İstanbulspor were as follows:
    09.08.2025 İstanbulspor - Serik Belediyespor 0:0
    Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
    Latest results of İstanbulspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor28179260:194160
    2Erokspor28178367:224559
    3Amedspor28167558:322655
    4Corum28155844:311350
    5Bodrumspor28146858:292948
    6Pendikspor28139643:222148
    7Igdir FK28128838:37144
    8Bandirmaspor281261040:32842
    9Keciorengucu281010853:361740
    10Manisa FK281171042:41140
    11Boluspor281151247:40738
    12Vanspor FK281081039:32738
    13Sivasspor28911836:29738
    14Istanbulspor AS28911837:41-438
    15Sariyer281051330:35-535
    16Umraniyespor28951433:38-532
    17Serik Spor28851529:54-2529
    18Sakaryaspor28671534:52-1825
    19Hatayspor28072120:77-577
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 28032516:125-109-39

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to