Result
1:3
21/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 18
- Referee: Demirbas A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (347/437) | 79% (325/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 3.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (347/437) | 79% (325/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (32/65) | 38% (26/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (89/135) | 66% (71/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.05 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Bikoue ⚽, Jefferson (A),
- 33', Bilal H. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Krstovski M. ⚽, Loshaj F. (A),
- 39', Bilal H. ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 2, Bikoue ⚽, Secgin E. (A),
- 65', Krstovski M. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
- 66', Ozcan M. 🟨,
- 76', Mamadou M. ↓, Gultekin E. ↑,
- 76', Temel V. ↓, Duymaz O. F. ↑,
- 80', Bingol M. ↓, Destici S. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Bikoue ⚽, Bars E. (A),
- 89', Sambissa D. ↓, Sahin C. ↑,
- 90', Akbaba C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bars E. ↓, Yildrim A. ↑,
Chances of winning
İstanbulspor
42.8% | Draw
26.9% | Vanspor
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbulspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
İstanbulspor - Vanspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.98) |
3.43 ↓
(3.64) |
3.02 ↓
(3.36) |
8.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for İstanbulspor - Vanspor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).
- İstanbulspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vanspor has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- İstanbulspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- İstanbulspor might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aydin D.
(Suspended)
Kabadayi K.
(Suspended)
Ologo Inainfe M.
(Broken Leg)
Ozer Y.
(Suspended)
Sarialioglu E.
(Suspended)
Tultak F.
(Suspended)
Vardar B.
(Illness)
Yilmaz A. S.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Vanspor: Destici S.
(Knee Injury)
Dikmen E.
(Muscle Injury)
Genc F. C.
(Suspended)
Kesici T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in İstanbulspor: Aksu D.
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbulspor won against Vanspor?
İstanbulspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against İstanbulspor?
Vanspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbulspor - Vanspor were as follows:
Latest results of İstanbulspor
Latest results of Vanspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
