Result
0:2
15/03/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 26
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (463/526) | 61% (146/238) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (463/526) | 61% (146/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (34/52) | 27% (17/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (144/172) | 56% (45/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (17/51) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Prevljak S. ⚽, Gorican S. (A),
- 9', 0 - 2, Frederiksen E. ⚽, Prevljak S. (A),
- 36', Husic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lasickas J. ↓, Morchiladze T. ↑,
- 46', Petrovic D. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
- 54', Mauric A. ↓, Ayuma I. ↑,
- 61', Legbo D. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
- 61', Rukavina G. ↓, Orec A. ↑,
- 67', Gorican S. ↓, Sepic N. ↑,
- 73', Cop D. ↓, Thaqi D. ↑,
- 73', Sepic N. 🟨,
- 83', Frederiksen E. ↓, Miettinen S. ↑,
- 90+2', Orec A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Heister M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
61.4% | Draw
24.2% | Istra 1961
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Rijeka - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.49) |
3.91 ↓
(4.18) |
6.45 ↑
(6.32) |
7.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 7 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Istra 1961 (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 2.
- Rijeka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Istra 1961 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Istra 1961 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Rijeka has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Rijeka is the team to beat.
- We predict that Rijeka will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:13. (average 1.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 1.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Istra 1961?
Rijeka has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Rijeka?
Istra 1961 has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Istra 1961 were as follows:
20.01.2026
Istra 1961
-
Rijeka
1:2
27.09.2025
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
0:0
19.04.2025
Istra 1961
-
Rijeka
2:0
02.04.2025
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
1:0
09.02.2025
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
0:1
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 75:22 | 53 | 66 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:33 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:46 | -8 | 36 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 36 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 34:46 | -12 | 34 |
| 8 | Gorica | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 | Osijek | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | -19 | 28 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
