Result
1:2
20/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 17
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/374) | 84% (372/444) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/374) | 84% (372/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/67) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (62/97) | 60% (61/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Lawal S. ⚽,
- 9', 1 - 1, Menalo L. ⚽, Orec A. (A),
- 16', Koski V. ↓, Kadusic A. ↑,
- 16', Juric A. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
- 16', Fruk T. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Lawal S. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
- 66', Menalo L. ↓, Morchiladze T. ↑,
- 69', Loncar S. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Dantas T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 80', Vignato S. 🟨,
- 83', Kumar R. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 85', Radeljic S. 🟨,
- 86', Maresic D. 🟨,
- 88', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 88', Vignato S. ↓, Barisic T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
27.6% | Draw
30.3% | Rijeka
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Istra 1961 - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↓
(4.01) |
3.06 ↓
(3.44) |
2.22 ↑
(1.88) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Rijeka will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Istra 1961 (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 2.
- Istra 1961 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rijeka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Rijeka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Kadusic A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Kreilach D.
(Injury)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:38. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Rijeka?
Istra 1961 has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Istra 1961?
Rijeka has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Rijeka were as follows:
27.09.2025
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
0:0
19.04.2025
Istra 1961
-
Rijeka
2:0
02.04.2025
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
1:0
09.02.2025
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
0:1
03.11.2024
Istra 1961
-
Rijeka
0:1
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 38:16 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:17 | 12 | 37 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 | Istra 1961 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 26 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 26 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 23 |
| 7 | Gorica | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 | Lok. Zagreb | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:30 | -10 | 19 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | Osijek | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
