Result
0:0
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 8
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (249/338) | 74% (237/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (249/338) | 74% (237/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 39% (16/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (60/92) | 59% (57/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 38 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Cop D. 🟨,
- 36', Devetak M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 68', Dantas T. ↓, Petrovic D. ↑,
- 76', Frederiksen E. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
- 77', Prevljak S. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
- 77', Cop D. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
- 77', Devetak M. ↓, Radeljic S. ↑,
- 81', Husic A. 🟨,
- 84', Nasraoui M. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
- 86', Gojak A. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 86', Menalo L. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 90+4', Lawal S. ↓, Ivanisevic J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
50.6% | Draw
26.9% | Istra 1961
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Rijeka - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.88) |
3.5 ↑
(3.45) |
4.24 ↑
(3.7) |
6.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
Rijeka will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rijeka will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 3.
- Rijeka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Istra 1961 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Rijeka is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Lasickas J.
(Inactive)
Radeljic S.
(Inactive)
Skoric M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Rozic V.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rijeka: Ilinkovic S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Istra 1961: Maresic D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:16. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Istra 1961?
Rijeka has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Rijeka?
Istra 1961 has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Istra 1961 were as follows:
19.04.2025
Istra 1961
-
Rijeka
2:0
02.04.2025
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
1:0
09.02.2025
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
0:1
03.11.2024
Istra 1961
-
Rijeka
0:1
18.08.2024
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
4:0
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | D. Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 13 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gorica | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Osijek | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
