Italy vs Venezuela, World Baseball Classic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Baseball Classic - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, Oneplay
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
japanJapanNetflix
mexicoMexicoFOX One
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 1

Chances of winning


Italy
37%
Venezuela
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 59.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezuela than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Italy - Venezuela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.36)

    1.53
    (1.63)
    4.4%
    (3.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 10.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Italy - Venezuela?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Venezuela will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Italy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:6.
  • Preview Facts
    • Italy is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Venezuela is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Venezuela might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 6.5:7.5).
    Latest results of Italy
    14.03.2026 Italy - Puerto Rico 8:6
    11.03.2026 Mexico - Italy 1:9
    10.03.2026 USA - Italy 6:8
    08.03.2026 Italy - Great Britain 7:4
    07.03.2026 Italy - Brazil 8:0
    Latest results of Venezuela
    14.03.2026 Japan - Venezuela 5:8
    09.03.2026 Nicaragua - Venezuela 0:4
    07.03.2026 Venezuela - Israel 11:3
    06.03.2026 Venezuela - Netherlands 6:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Dominican Republic (D1)South Korea (C2)10 : 0
    2Canada (A1)USA (B2)3 : 5
    3Italy (B1)Puerto Rico (A2)8 : 6
    4Japan (C1)Venezuela (D2)5 : 8

    Semi-finals
    1Dominican Republic (D1)USA (B2)1 : 2
    2Italy (B1)Venezuela (D2)

    Final
    1USA (B2)TBD #2