Result
2:4
16/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- World Baseball Classic - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | CT sport, Oneplay |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 Japan | Netflix |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Hits |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 2B - double |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 3B - triple |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Home runs |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Runs batted in |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Left on base |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Base on balls |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Strikeouts |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Stolen bases |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| At bat |
|---|
| 30 | 33 |
| Batting average |
|---|
| 0.167 | 0.242 |
Chances of winning
Italy
37.7% | Venezuela
62.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezuela than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Italy - Venezuela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.36) |
|
1.54 ↓
(1.63) |
4.4%
(3.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 10.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Italy - Venezuela?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Venezuela will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Venezuela (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:6.
Preview Facts
- Italy is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Venezuela is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Venezuela might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 6.5:7.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Italy won against Venezuela?
Italy has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venezuela won against Italy?
Venezuela has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Venezuela were as follows:
Latest results of Venezuela
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Dominican Republic (D1) | South Korea (C2) | 10 : 0 |
| 2 | Canada (A1) | USA (B2) | 3 : 5 |
| 3 | Italy (B1) | Puerto Rico (A2) | 8 : 6 |
| 4 | Japan (C1) | Venezuela (D2) | 5 : 8 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dominican Republic (D1) | USA (B2) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Italy (B1) | Venezuela (D2) | 2 : 4 |
Final| 1 | USA (B2) | Venezuela (D2) | 2 : 3 |
