Ituano vs Sertãozinho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
21/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Neto Berola (Penalty Awarded),
  • 33', 2 - 0, Lucas Stefanello ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', 3 - 0, William G. ,
  • 66', 4 - 0, Lipe ,

Chances of winning


Ituano
56.5%
Draw
26.6%
Sertãozinho
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 25.8% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 24.4% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Ituano - Sertãozinho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.56)
    3.44
    (3.5)
    5.39
    (5.47)
    9.5%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Sertãozinho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ituano is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Ituano will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ituano
    18.02.2026 Ituano - Água Santa 0:1
    14.02.2026 Piracicaba - Ituano 0:1
    08.02.2026 Ituano - Santo André 1:0
    01.02.2026 Taubaté - Ituano 0:1
    Latest results of Sertãozinho
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    Second stage

    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Votuporanguense21103:034
    2Piracicaba20200:002
    3Agua Santa20200:002
    4Ituano20110:3-31


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Jose EC22003:126
    2Juventus-SP32014:316
    3Sertaozinho31024:5-13
    4Ferroviaria20022:4-20

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)