Result
4:0
21/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Neto Berola (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', 2 - 0, Lucas Stefanello ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 3 - 0, William G. ⚽,
- 66', 4 - 0, Lipe ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ituano
56.5% | Draw
26.6% | Sertãozinho
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Ituano - Sertãozinho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.56) |
3.44 ↓
(3.5) |
5.39 ↓
(5.47) |
9.5%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Sertãozinho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ituano is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Ituano will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Sertãozinho?
Ituano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sertãozinho won against Ituano?
Sertãozinho has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - Sertãozinho were as follows:
Latest results of Sertãozinho
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Agua Santa ✔ | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Ferroviaria ✔ | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Sao Jose EC ✔ | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 | Ituano ✔ | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Votuporanguense ✔ | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Osasco Sporting | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 22 |
| 7 | Juventus-SP | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Sertaozinho | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 | Piracicaba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Inter de Limeira | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14:16 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Taubate | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Santo Andre | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 15 |
| 13 | Linense | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Monte Azul | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Gremio Prudente | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Sao Bento ✔ | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6:21 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Paulista A3
Clinched Spots for Teams
Agua Santa is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
Ferroviaria is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
Sao Jose EC is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
Sao Bento is Relegated to Paulista A3
