Result
2:3 penalties
05/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Yamanaka A. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Fukaminato S. ⚽, Yamanaka A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Kaneko K. ⚽, Kato T. (A),
- 61', Yamanaka A. ↓, Konno I. ↑,
- 61', Hisanaga R. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
- 76', Sawazaki R. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
- 76', Kato T. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
- 76', Owie W. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
- 90+1', Shibata S. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Fujieda K. ⚽,
- 90+5', Sasaki M. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Konno I. ⚽, Nishitani R. (A),
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Murakoshi K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Nagaki R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Yasunaga R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Dohana K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Fujieda K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Nakajima S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Shirai T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Nishitani R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Fukazawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Sasaki M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Inoue A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Yamaguchi D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Oda I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Shota K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga
33.8% | Draw
28.2% | Iwaki
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iwaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iwaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Matsumoto Yamaga - Iwaki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↓
(3.44) |
3.26 ↓
(3.56) |
2.42 ↑
(1.98) |
8.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Iwaki?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Iwaki could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Iwaki?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Iwaki won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Iwaki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Iwaki were as follows:
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31:10 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19:13 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 5 | Montedio Yamagata | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 7 | Kusatsu | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17:32 | 16 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 22:28 | 15 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16:31 | 15 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30:21 | 24 |
| 4 | Gifu | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 19:20 | 23 |
| 6 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Yamaga | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25:19 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20:34 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12:30 | 11 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Ehime | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18:29 | 15 |
| 8 | Osaka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Imabari | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Kamatamare | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:26 | 13 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29:9 | 37 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
