Result
2:4 ET
26/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, Q Football Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+, Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 9 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 6, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Uno |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+ |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 7 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | Tabii Spor 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | On Golf, ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (451/549) | 83% (464/558) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 3.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (451/549) | 83% (464/558) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (99/142) | 66% (63/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 2.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.32 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
- 17', Jozwiak K. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Mazurek B. ⚽,
- 36', Jozwiak K. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Mazurek B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lezzerini L. ↓, de Gea D. ↑,
- 46', Fortini N. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 3, Mazurek B. ⚽, Pululu A. (A),
- 62', Mandragora R. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
- 62', Fazzini J. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
- 66', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
- 75', Bazdar S. 🟨,
- 77', Pongracic M. 🟨,
- 89', Piccoli R. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
- 90', Drachal D. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
- Extra Time (2 - 1)
- 94', Pozo A. 🟨,
- 100', Solomon M. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
- 101', Dodo 🟨,
- 105+1', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 106', Mazurek B. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 107', 1 - 3, Fagioli N. ⚽,
- 110', Vital B. 🟨,
- 112', Vanoli P. 🟨,
- 114', 2 - 3, Romanczuk T. (Own goal), Kean M. (A),
- 117', Pozo A. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
- 118', 2 - 4, Imaz J. ⚽, Pelmard A. (A),
- 120', Vital B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
61.4% | Draw
21.8% | Jagiellonia Białystok
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.71) |
4.29 ↑
(3.84) |
5.65 ↑
(4.87) |
6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 32 - 78%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 4 - 9.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 65.3% – 90.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Fiorentina (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -2 - Jagiellonia (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 3-0. Second leg.
- Fiorentina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jagiellonia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fiorentina is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Brescianini M.
(Inactive)
Christensen O.
(Inactive)
Lamptey T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Konstantopoulos A.
(Inactive)
Lozano S.
(Inactive)
Montoia G.
(Inactive)
Nahuel M.
(Inactive)
Stojinovic D.
(Injury)
Szmyt K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Fiorentina?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
19.02.2026
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Fiorentina
0:3
Latest results of Fiorentina
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
