Result
16/03/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 25
- Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (153/226) | 84% (434/516) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 58% (40/69) | 73% (121/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 24% (6/25) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 58% (7/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 45 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Gholizadeh A. ⚽, Salamon B. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Hansen K. (A),
- 37', Milic A. ↓, Gurgul M. ↑,
- 41', Sousa A. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
- 44', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
- 52', Salamon B. 🟨,
- 58', Hansen K. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 58', Flach L. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Murawski R. (Own goal),
- 65', Polak C. 🟨,
- 69', Hakans D. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
- 69', Carstensen R. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 75', Churlinov D. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 75', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 89', Abramowicz S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Murawski R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Douglas A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
35.2% | Draw
27.5% | Lech Poznań
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-2%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.48) |
3.4 ↓
(3.46) |
2.51 ↓
(2.69) |
6.7%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Lech will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 32.6% – 78.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Jagiellonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A.
(Knee Injury)
Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Injury)
Thordarson G.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27:41 (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Lech Poznań?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Lech Poznań has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań were as follows:
14.09.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
5:0
17.02.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lech Poznań
1:2
24.10.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:3
27.05.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:0
12.11.2022
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lech Poznań
1:2
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Widzew Lodz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Termalica B-B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
