Result
0:0
04/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (402/467) | 88% (427/486) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (402/467) | 88% (427/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (25/45) | 55% (24/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (85/120) | 81% (101/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 53% (9/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Milic A. 🟨,
- 32', Kozlowski E. 🟨,
- 43', Vital B. 🟨,
- 45', Siemieniec A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Walemark P. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
- 64', Rodriguez P. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 72', Kozlowski E. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
- 72', Szmyt K. ↓, Nahuel M. ↑,
- 84', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 84', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
- 90+1', Bengtsson L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
- 90+4', Pululu A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
36% | Draw
26.1% | Lech Poznań
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.52) |
3.59 ↑
(3.54) |
2.48 ↓
(2.54) |
6.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Lech will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
- Jagiellonia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lech has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Flach L.
(Knee Injury)
Jozwiak K.
(Groin Injury)
Konstantopoulos A.
(Health problems)
Piekutowski M.
(Inactive)
Stojinovic D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lech: Douglas A.
(Ribs Injury)
Hakans D.
(Inactive)
Jagiello F.
(Injury)
Lisman K.
(Knee Injury)
Murawski R.
(Surgery)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:41. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Lech Poznań?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Lech Poznań has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań were as follows:
28.09.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:2
14.09.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
5:0
17.02.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Lech Poznań
1:2
24.10.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:3
27.05.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:0
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
