Jagiellonia Białystok vs Molde – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Jagiellonia Białystok - Molde
Result
3:0
07/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 17
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.990.23
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
147
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
61
Free Kicks
1510
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
41
Throw-ins
1013
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
1015
Total Passes
456526
Completed Passes
355430
Crosses Completed
31
Interceptions
209

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Pululu A. , Kubicki J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 60', 2 - 0, Hansen K. , Imaz J. (A),
  • 62', Enggaard M. , Ihler F. ,
  • 62', Stenevik H. , Haugan E. ,
  • 67', Kubicki J. , Nene ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Hansen K. , Imaz J. (A),
  • 77', Brynhildsen O. , Hestad E. ,
  • 77', Daehli M. , Granaas S. ,
  • 79', Pululu A. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 85', Sacek M. , Kovacik P. ,
  • 85', Imaz J. , Costa Silva T. ,
  • 85', Churlinov D. , Listkowski M. ,
  • 87', Hagelskjaer A. , Lund V. ,

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
31.9%
Draw
26.9%
Molde
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 27% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 26.9% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molde's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Molde Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.45)
    3.52
    (3.35)
    2.29
    (2.5)
    6.4%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Molde?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Molde will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 24.9%69.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jagiellonia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Molde is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Skrzypczak M. (Injury) Villar Miki (Injury)
    • There will not play in Molde: Berisha V. (Injury) Gulbrandsen F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L. (Injury) Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Molde: Bakke J. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Molde
    03.11.2024 Molde - Bodø Glimt 3:3
    30.10.2024 Sandnes Ulf - Molde 0:2
    27.10.2024 Haugesund - Molde 0:3
    24.10.2024 Gent - Molde 2:1
    19.10.2024 Molde - Sandefjord 0:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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