Puszcza Niepołomice vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
1:1
08/12/2024 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 18
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.97
Ball Possession
32%68%
Goal Attempts
719
Shots on Goal
27
Shots off Goal
210
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
12
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
08
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
61
Free Kicks
620
Offsides
22
Fouls
206
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1521
Touches in the Opposition Box
1932
Passes
71% (180/252)85% (463/544)
Passes in the final third
60% (53/89)77% (144/188)
Crosses
12% (2/17)27% (4/15)
Tackles
56% (10/18)58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
2926
Interceptions
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Cholewiak M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Stepien M. , Blagaic J. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Nene ,
  • 74', Cholewiak M. , Mrozinski P. ,
  • 74', Pululu A. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 74', Kubicki J. , Romanczuk T. ,
  • 74', Hajda W. , Yakuba R. ,
  • 74', Lee Jin-Hyun , Revenco I. ,
  • 80', Kosidis M. 🟨,
  • 83', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
  • 84', Churlinov D. , Villar Miki ,
  • 90+3', Blagaic J. , Radecki M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
22.8%
Draw
25%
Jagiellonia Białystok
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 25.6% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3% 27% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.11
    (3.63)
    3.77
    (3.63)
    1.79
    (1.9)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 44.9%88.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium.
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Puszcza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Jagiellonia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Puszcza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Jagiellonia will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1.3:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    19.07.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:0
    16.12.2023 Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:3
    29.07.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Puszcza Niepołomice 4:1
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1163220:12821
    4Wisla Plock1163215:8721
    5Korona Kielce1254316:11519
    6Lech Poznan1154220:18219
    7Zaglebie1245325:18717
    8Widzew Lodz1351720:20016
    9Legia1143414:12215
    10Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    11Rakow1142512:15-314
    12Pogon Szczecin1242618:22-414
    13Motor Lublin1235416:21-514
    14Arka Gdynia123367:19-1212
    15GKS Katowice1232716:24-811
    16Lechia Gdansk1243521:27-610
    17Termalica B-B1324717:25-810
    18Piast Gliwice101459:13-47

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1