Result
1:1
08/12/2024 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 18
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.22 | 0.97 |
Ball Possession |
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32% | 68% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
7 | 19 |
Shots on Goal |
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2 | 7 |
Shots off Goal |
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2 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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7 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
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0 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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6 | 20 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Fouls |
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20 | 6 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 21 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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19 | 32 |
Passes |
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71% (180/252) | 85% (463/544) |
Passes in the final third |
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60% (53/89) | 77% (144/188) |
Crosses |
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12% (2/17) | 27% (4/15) |
Tackles |
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56% (10/18) | 58% (7/12) |
Clearances Total |
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29 | 26 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Cholewiak M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Stepien M. ↓, Blagaic J. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Nene ⚽,
- 74', Cholewiak M. ↓, Mrozinski P. ↑,
- 74', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 74', Kubicki J. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
- 74', Hajda W. ↓, Yakuba R. ↑,
- 74', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
- 80', Kosidis M. 🟨,
- 83', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 84', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
- 90+3', Blagaic J. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Puszcza Niepołomice 22.8% | Draw 25% | Jagiellonia Białystok 52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.11 ↑ (3.63) |
3.77 ↑ (3.63) |
1.79 ↓ (1.9) |
6.6% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Puszcza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Jagiellonia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Puszcza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Jagiellonia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1.3:3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
19.07.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:0
16.12.2023
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:3
29.07.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
4:1
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1