Puszcza Niepołomice vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
1:1
08/12/2024 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 18
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.97
Ball Possession
32%68%
Goal Attempts
719
Shots on Goal
27
Shots off Goal
210
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
12
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
08
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
61
Free Kicks
620
Offsides
22
Fouls
206
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1521
Touches in the Opposition Box
1932
Passes
71% (180/252)85% (463/544)
Passes in the final third
60% (53/89)77% (144/188)
Crosses
12% (2/17)27% (4/15)
Tackles
56% (10/18)58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
2926
Interceptions
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Cholewiak M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Stepien M. , Blagaic J. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Nene ,
  • 74', Cholewiak M. , Mrozinski P. ,
  • 74', Pululu A. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 74', Kubicki J. , Romanczuk T. ,
  • 74', Hajda W. , Yakuba R. ,
  • 74', Lee Jin-Hyun , Revenco I. ,
  • 80', Kosidis M. 🟨,
  • 83', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
  • 84', Churlinov D. , Villar Miki ,
  • 90+3', Blagaic J. , Radecki M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
22.8%
Draw
25%
Jagiellonia Białystok
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 25.6% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3% 27% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.11
    (3.63)
    3.77
    (3.63)
    1.79
    (1.9)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 44.9%88.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium.
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Puszcza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Jagiellonia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Puszcza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Jagiellonia will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1.3:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    19.07.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:0
    16.12.2023 Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:3
    29.07.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Puszcza Niepołomice 4:1
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1