Result
1:2
09/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 15
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.80 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (220/308) | 84% (424/505) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.80 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.40 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 64 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (220/308) | 84% (424/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 37% (14/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (74/123) | 70% (76/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 4.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 3.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Rallis D. ⚽, Stojinovic D. (A),
- 20', Stojinovic D. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Grosicki K. ⚽, Przyborek A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Lozano S. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
- 54', Pozo A. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 59', Ndiaye M. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
- 68', Rallis D. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
- 68', Flach L. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
- 70', Smolinski K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 77', Grosicki K. 🟨,
- 85', Molnar R. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 85', Koutris L. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
- 85', Jozwiak K. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Pietuszewski O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
42% | Draw
24.4% | Jagiellonia Białystok
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.3) |
3.82 ↑
(2.99) |
2.79 ↓
(2.85) |
5.8%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 26.7% – 80.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Pogoń Szczecin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Juwara M.
(Yellow Cards)
Renyer
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Pululu A.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
24.05.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:1
01.12.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
26.04.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:2
03.04.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
28.10.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
