Result
09/05/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
50.8% | Draw
25.5% | Pogoń Szczecin
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-1%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.72) |
3.63 ↑
(3.23) |
3.91 ↓
(4.2) |
7.9%
(12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
- Jagiellonia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pogoń Szczecin's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Jagiellonia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
09.11.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:2
24.05.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:1
01.12.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
26.04.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:2
03.04.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 58:57 | 1 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
