Result
1:1
08/12/2024 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 18
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (180/252) | 85% (463/544) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 60% (53/89) | 77% (144/188) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 27% (4/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 58% (7/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Cholewiak M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Stepien M. ↓, Blagaic J. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Nene ⚽,
- 74', Cholewiak M. ↓, Mrozinski P. ↑,
- 74', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 74', Kubicki J. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
- 74', Hajda W. ↓, Yakuba R. ↑,
- 74', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Revenco I. ↑,
- 80', Kosidis M. 🟨,
- 83', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 84', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
- 90+3', Blagaic J. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Puszcza Niepołomice
22.8% | Draw
25% | Jagiellonia Białystok
52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.11 ↑
(3.63) |
3.77 ↑
(3.63) |
1.79 ↓
(1.9) |
6.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Puszcza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Jagiellonia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Puszcza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Jagiellonia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1.3:3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
19.07.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:0
16.12.2023
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:3
29.07.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
4:1
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
