Stal Mielec vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
2:1
07/02/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 20
  • Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.22
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1115
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
67
Blocked Shots
35
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
35
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
Free Kicks
1813
Offsides
00
Fouls
1318
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2322
Touches in the Opposition Box
1947
Passes
79% (355/449)74% (271/366)
Passes in the final third
69% (87/126)60% (66/110)
Crosses
58% (7/12)22% (2/9)
Tackles
65% (11/17)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
3115
Interceptions
119

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Pululu A. ,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Dadok R. , Shkurin I. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 1, Wlazlo P. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Stojinovic D. 🟨,
  • 59', Dadok R. , Wolkowicz K. ,
  • 63', Kubicki J. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 63', Imaz J. , Churlinov D. ,
  • 63', Hansen K. , Romanczuk T. ,
  • 75', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 76', Flach L. , Wojtuszek N. ,
  • 84', Villar Miki , Pietuszewski O. ,
  • 86', Shkurin I. , Wolsztynski L. ,
  • 89', Getinger K. 🟨,
  • 90', Wlazlo P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
35.4%
Draw
27.2%
Jagiellonia Białystok
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 26.3% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.52)
    3.45
    (3.56)
    2.51
    (2.56)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 35.9%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mega Basket won 2.
    • Mega Basket is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Split is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Split could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Mega Basket is a favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Mega Basket won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 724:715 (average 80.4:79.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mega Basket won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 351:303 (average 87.8:75.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec 2:0
    04.05.2024 Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:2
    03.11.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec 4:0
    03.04.2023 Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1
    12.09.2022 Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec 4:0
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Radomiak Radom21106:244
    3Termalica B-B21014:223
    4Wisla Plock11002:023
    5Gornik Zabrze11002:113
    6Motor Lublin11001:013
    7Widzew Lodz11001:013
    8Rakow11001:013
    9Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    10Piast Gliwice00000:000
    11Legia00000:000
    12GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    13Zaglebie10010:1-10
    14Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    15Lech Poznan10011:4-30
    16Pogon Szczecin10011:5-40
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk10011:2-1-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1