Result
2:1
13/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 50% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 77% (48/62) | 68% (44/65) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 57% (24/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 11/13 | 4/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 32% (21/65) | 34% (21/62) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 45% (28/62) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/8 | 2/13 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 62 | 48 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 88% (7/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (82/124) | 63% (67/106) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (39/106) | 34% (42/124) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (121/230) | 47% (109/230) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 13% (2/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 44% (14/32) |
Chances of winning
James Duckworth 48.7% | Stefano Napolitano 51.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that James Duckworth's form might have worsened.Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Duckworth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
James Duckworth - Stefano Napolitano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↑ (1.56) |
|
1.81 ↓ (2.26) |
7.7% (8.4%) | |
What is the prediction for James Duckworth - Stefano Napolitano?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Napolitano will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napolitano: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Duckworth is ranked ATP: 86. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 302.
- Duckworth is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Napolitano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Napolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Duckworth could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Duckworth will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Duckworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has James Duckworth won against Stefano Napolitano?
James Duckworth has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefano Napolitano won against James Duckworth?
Stefano Napolitano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between James Duckworth - Stefano Napolitano were as follows:
Latest results of James Duckworth
Latest results of Stefano Napolitano