James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
84
Double Faults
53
1st serve percentage
50%61%
1st serve points won
77% (48/62)68% (44/65)
2nd serve points won
55% (34/62)57% (24/42)
Break Points Saved
11/134/8
1st return points won
32% (21/65)34% (21/62)
2nd return points won
43% (18/42)45% (28/62)
Break Points Converted
4/82/13
Winners
3823
Unforced errors
6248
Net points won
69% (11/16)88% (7/8)
Service Points Won
66% (82/124)63% (67/106)
Return Points Won
37% (39/106)34% (42/124)
Total Points Won
53% (121/230)47% (109/230)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
88% (14/16)75% (12/16)
Return games won
25% (4/16)13% (2/16)
Total games won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


James Duckworth
48.7%
Stefano Napolitano
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that James Duckworth's form might have worsened.
  • Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Duckworth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • James Duckworth - Stefano Napolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.56)

    1.81
    (2.26)
    7.7%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for James Duckworth - Stefano Napolitano?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Napolitano will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napolitano: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Duckworth is ranked ATP: 86. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 302.
    • Duckworth is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Napolitano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Napolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Duckworth could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Duckworth will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Duckworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of James Duckworth
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano