Result
2:3
09/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 10
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Koke ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 0, Koke ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 1, Ramos Moreno A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', 2 - 2, Ramos Moreno A. (Pen),
- 59', 2 - 3, Ramos Moreno A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Diocesano
40.6% | Draw
27.4% | Jaraíz
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Diocesano - Jaraíz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.5) |
3.47 ↑
(3.3) |
2.96 ↑
(2.45) |
5.3%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Diocesano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jaraíz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Diocesano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Jaraíz?
Diocesano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaraíz won against Diocesano?
Jaraíz has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Jaraíz were as follows:
20.04.2025
Diocesano
-
Jaraíz
1:2
08.12.2024
Jaraíz
-
Diocesano
3:0
17.12.2023
Jaraíz
-
Diocesano
2:1
Latest results of Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 50:15 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Moralo | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 44 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Cabeza del Buey | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 30:17 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Azuaga | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34:24 | 10 | 40 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Llerenense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
| 10 | Villafranca | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Montijo | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Puebla | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23:32 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Gevora | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22:37 | -15 | 20 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17:44 | -27 | 15 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17:46 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
