Result
3:0
22/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Ramos Moreno A. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Matos T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 73', 3 - 0, Cruz L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Jaraíz 64.1% | Draw 21.9% | Diocesano 13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaraíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Jaraíz - Diocesano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↓ (1.51) |
4.16 ↑ (3.8) |
6.57 ↑ (6.06) |
9.5% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 15).
- Recent performances by Jaraíz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Diocesano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Jaraíz is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jaraíz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaraíz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaraíz won against Diocesano?
Jaraíz has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Jaraíz?
Diocesano has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaraíz - Diocesano were as follows:
09.11.2025
Diocesano
-
Jaraíz
2:3
20.04.2025
Diocesano
-
Jaraíz
1:2
08.12.2024
Jaraíz
-
Diocesano
3:0
17.12.2023
Jaraíz
-
Diocesano
2:1
Latest results of Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation