Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/434) | 86% (422/488) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/434) | 86% (422/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 51% (21/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (124/172) | 75% (103/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (13/13) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Yamamoto Y. ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
- 8', Issaka Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Miura S. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
- 62', Ito T. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
- 62', Miyagi T. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 65', Yasui T. ↓, Tsubaki N. ↑,
- 65', Issaka Z. ↓, Igari Y. ↑,
- 65', Tsukui T. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
- 80', Matsunagane Y. ↓, Hayashi S. ↑,
- 80', Romanic L. ↓, Erison ↑,
- 82', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Shinada M. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Ishio R. ⚽, Sugiyama N. (A),
- 89', 2 - 1, Marcinho ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
- 90', Marcinho 🟨,
- 90', Miyagi T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ishio R. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kawasaki Frontale
55.1% | Draw
24.1% | JEF United Chiba
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kawasaki Frontale that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.77) |
3.93 ↓
(3.98) |
4.51 ↑
(4.13) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kawasaki Frontale will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
- Recent performances by Kawasaki have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- JEF United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Kawasaki is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Ozeki Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Sasaki A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Taniguchi H.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in JEF United: Mae T.
(Yellow Cards)
Tanaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Ueda Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kawasaki: Yamaichi S.
(Illness)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against JEF United Chiba?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JEF United Chiba won against Kawasaki Frontale?
JEF United Chiba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba were as follows:
14.02.2026
JEF United Chiba
-
Kawasaki Frontale
0:1
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Latest results of JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
