Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/05/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Tokyo
63.3%
Draw
21.9%
JEF United Chiba
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 22.2% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 20.8% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Tokyo - JEF United Chiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.46)
    4.25
    (4.13)
    6.28
    (6.2)
    7.1%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
    • Tokyo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • JEF United is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Tokyo is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Tokyo will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tokyo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - JEF United Chiba were as follows:
    18.03.2026 JEF United Chiba - Tokyo 1:2
    10.07.2024 Tokyo - JEF United Chiba 1:2
    Latest results of Tokyo
    02.05.2026 Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0
    29.04.2026 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:3
    24.04.2026 Tokyo - Mito HollyHock 5:2
    05.04.2026 Tokyo - Machida Zelvia 0:1
    Latest results of JEF United Chiba
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers141012123:1034
    2FC Tokyo14832129:1332
    3Machida13542221:2025
    4Verdy13630420:1624
    5Kawasaki Frontale14521620:2520
    6Urawa Reds14503620:1918
    7Mito14244421:2818
    8Yokohama F. Marinos14501821:2616
    9Kashiwa Reysol143101016:2111
    10Chiba14203913:269


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe13713223:1826
    2Gamba Osaka15453328:2125
    3Nagoya Grampus14623325:2025
    4Cerezo Osaka14441517:1421
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima14521621:1920
    6Shimizu S-Pulse14424418:1920
    7Okayama14424418:2420
    8Kyoto13431520:1819
    9Avispa Fukuoka15333618:2718
    10V-Varen Nagasaki14501814:2216

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)