Result
0:0
18/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/469) | 85% (362/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/469) | 85% (362/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (99/124) | 71% (75/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Williams W. 🟨,
- 45', Kudelkins A. 🟨,
- 45', Hasek F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Holoubek D. 🟨,
- 61', Kumater S. ↓, Promise V. ↑,
- 74', Fofana W. 🟨,
- 86', Williams W. ↓, Barkovskis N. ↑,
- 87', Holoubek D. ↓, Boroduska E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jelgava
39.6% | Draw
26.1% | BFC Daugavpils
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BFC Daugavpils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.09) |
3.51 ↑
(3.45) |
2.67 ↓
(3.09) |
9.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jelgava (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jelgava will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against BFC Daugavpils?
Jelgava has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
27.07.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Jelgava
2:0
25.05.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Jelgava
1:0
10.04.2025
Jelgava
-
BFC Daugavpils
4:1
01.09.2024
Jelgava
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
21.06.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Jelgava
3:0
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 81:21 | 60 | 86 |
| 2 | RFS | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 88:35 | 53 | 78 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 48:55 | -7 | 47 |
| 5 | Auda | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 37:62 | -25 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobina | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 30 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Metta | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 31:69 | -38 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
