Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 10
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (342/418) | 85% (403/472) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 2.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (342/418) | 85% (403/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (70/106) | 66% (69/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 4% (1/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.96 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Unuvar E. ⚽, O'Niel D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bounida R. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Wolff K. ⚽,
- 61', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 62', van der Heide A. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 69', Wolff K. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 2, de Jong F. ⚽,
- 71', Johnson J. ↓, van der Lans M. ↑,
- 71', Muzungu M. ↓, Butera E. ↑,
- 71', Boersma B. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
- 71', Meerstadt J. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
- 74', Besselink R. 🟨,
- 78', Unuvar E. 🟨,
- 80', Unuvar E. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
- 90+2', Butera E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
26.4% | Draw
22.9% | De Graafschap
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Ajax's form might have worsened.De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong Ajax - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↑
(2.82) |
4.07 ↑
(3.95) |
1.86 ↓
(2.11) |
6.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - De Graafschap?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
- Jong Ajax has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- De Graafschap has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- De Graafschap could have a small edge in this match.
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in De Graafschap: Symons K.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against De Graafschap?
Jong Ajax has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong Ajax?
De Graafschap has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - De Graafschap were as follows:
19.04.2025
De Graafschap
-
Jong Ajax
2:0
09.12.2024
Jong Ajax
-
De Graafschap
2:0
11.03.2024
De Graafschap
-
Jong Ajax
0:2
21.08.2023
Jong Ajax
-
De Graafschap
1:2
13.01.2023
De Graafschap
-
Jong Ajax
3:0
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30:7 | 23 | 28 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roda | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Willem II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 | Den Bosch | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Helmond | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Venlo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Emmen | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Oss | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Almere City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Eindhoven FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Jong AZ | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
