Result
4:0
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 26
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (386/470) | 79% (275/349) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 3.66 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 39 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (386/470) | 79% (275/349) |
| Long passes |
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| 55% (41/74) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 64% (82/129) | 59% (41/69) |
| Crosses |
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| 33% (9/27) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
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| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
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| 62% (16/26) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 3.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Kaninda N. (A),
- 24', Butera E. 🟨,
- 45', van der Vaart D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Appiah A. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Eggens N. ⚽, Kaninda N. (A),
- 55', 3 - 0, Eggens N. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
- 61', Martens N. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
- 61', Gijselhart T. ↓, Eijken D. ↑,
- 69', Kasanwirjo K. ↓, Beekman L. ↑,
- 70', Peters T. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
- 70', Kaninda N. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
- 70', Eggens N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
- 75', 4 - 0, Kwint K. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
- 78', Niemeijer R. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
- 79', O'Niel D. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
Chances of winning
De Graafschap 66.1% | Draw 17.7% | Jong Ajax 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
De Graafschap - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↑ (1.31) |
5.23 ↓ (5.37) |
5.82 ↓ (7.05) |
7% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 65% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Jong Ajax (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): De Graafschap will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, De Graafschap is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:35. (average 1.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 2.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong Ajax?
De Graafschap has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against De Graafschap?
Jong Ajax has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Jong Ajax were as follows:
03.10.2025
Jong Ajax
-
De Graafschap
2:2
19.04.2025
De Graafschap
-
Jong Ajax
2:0
09.12.2024
Jong Ajax
-
De Graafschap
2:0
11.03.2024
De Graafschap
-
Jong Ajax
0:2
21.08.2023
Jong Ajax
-
De Graafschap
1:2
Latest results of De Graafschap
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 32 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 72:31 | 41 | 74 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 63:33 | 30 | 70 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 58:49 | 9 | 52 |
| 4 | Willem II | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Jong PSV | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:56 | 6 | 50 |
| 6 | Almere City | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 66:53 | 13 | 49 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 48 |
| 8 | Roda | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:47 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 43:43 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 55:57 | -2 | 43 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 31 | 12 | 4 | 15 | 45:55 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Venlo | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39:49 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 48:54 | -6 | 36 |
| 15 | Maastricht | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 39:61 | -22 | 36 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 49:49 | 0 | 33 |
| 17 | Helmond | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 37:56 | -19 | 33 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 32 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 53:63 | -10 | 31 |
| 20 | Oss | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 39:56 | -17 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie