Jong Ajax vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
2:1
02/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 25
  • Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.171.05
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
57
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
44
Passes
85% (451/528)75% (270/360)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.171.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.801.77
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
49
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1629
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
36
Free kicks
1310
Passes
85% (451/528)75% (270/360)
Long passes
51% (35/69)53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
63% (64/102)65% (68/105)
Crosses
9% (1/11)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.50
Throw ins
918
Fouls
1013
Tackles
69% (9/13)83% (15/18)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
2125
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
63
xGOT faced
1.771.80
Goals prevented
0.77-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
  • 51', Zarrouk A. ↓, van Maarschalkerwaard P. ↑,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Vink S. ⚽, Johnson J. (A),
  • 62', Alders G. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
  • 62', Abdella M. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
  • 68', Doodeman N. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
  • 68', van Aalst U. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
  • 70', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, Verheydt T. (A),
  • 72', Ouazane Z. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
  • 77', O'Niel D. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Ouazane A. ⚽, Nash P. (A),
  • 85', van Maarschalkerwaard P. 🟨,
  • 87', Et Taibi A. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
  • 88', van der Vaart D. ↓, Muzungu M. ↑,
  • 90+3', Ouazane A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
22.9%		Draw
21.6%		Willem II
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 22% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 21.4% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Jong Ajax - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.09 ↑
    (3.61)    		 4.28 ↑
    (4.24)    		 1.69 ↓
    (1.79)    		 6.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Willem II will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 21.7% – 78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Willem II (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
    • Jong Ajax is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Willem II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Willem II were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0
    19.01.2024 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:1
    06.11.2023 Jong Ajax - Willem II 1:0
    24.02.2023 Willem II - Jong Ajax 2:1
    31.10.2022 Jong Ajax - Willem II 1:2
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2 ✺
    12.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 1:2 ✺
    22.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Waalwijk 0:2 ✺
    12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Almere City - Jong Ajax 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Willem II
    23.01.2026 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:1 ✺
    18.01.2026 FC Eindhoven - Willem II 0:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Helmond Sport - Willem II 2:2 ✺
    18.12.2025 Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam 1:5 ✺
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy