Result
1:3
24/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 13
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (362/445) | 80% (326/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (362/445) | 80% (326/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (77/122) | 57% (50/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 72% (21/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.36 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Bouziane W. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
- 27', Budko B. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
- 38', Bijleveld T. ↓, van der Zeeuw T. ↑,
- 41', 1 - 1, Burgering B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 2, Boogaard K. ⚽, Zwart J. (A),
- 54', de Haan M. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 3, van Duijn S. (Pen),
- 64', Burgering B. ↓, Beaumont G. ↑,
- 64', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Dors M. ↑,
- 64', Cornelisse E. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 75', Bouziane W. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 76', Toppenberg K. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
- 81', Menu M. 🟨,
- 83', de Haan M. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almere City
56.4% | Draw
22% | Jong AZ Alkmaar
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almere City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.77) |
4.23 ↑
(4) |
4.28 ↑
(3.72) |
6.8%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.
- Almere City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jong AZ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almere City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
- There are questionable in Almere City: Druijf F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Almere City?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
07.04.2023
Almere City
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
22.08.2022
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Almere City
3:2
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Willem II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:21 | -4 | 21 |
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
