Almere City vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar
Result
1:3
24/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 13
  • Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.67
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
81% (362/445)80% (326/407)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.801.64
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
3120
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
76
Passes
81% (362/445)80% (326/407)
Long passes
44% (27/62)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
63% (77/122)57% (50/88)
Crosses
26% (8/31)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.47
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
67
Tackles
71% (15/21)72% (21/29)
Duels won
4349
Clearances
1040
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.640.80
Goals prevented
-1.36-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Bouziane W. , Boogaard K. (A),
  • 27', Budko B. , de Wit H. ,
  • 38', Bijleveld T. , van der Zeeuw T. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Burgering B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Boogaard K. , Zwart J. (A),
  • 54', de Haan M. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 3, van Duijn S. (Pen),
  • 64', Burgering B. , Beaumont G. ,
  • 64', Rijkhoff J. , Dors M. ,
  • 64', Cornelisse E. , Poku E. ,
  • 75', Bouziane W. , Smits A. ,
  • 76', Toppenberg K. , van der Klaauw D. ,
  • 81', Menu M. 🟨,
  • 83', de Haan M. , de Nijs O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almere City
56.4%
Draw
22%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 23.1% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 21.4% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almere City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.77)
    4.23
    (4)
    4.28
    (3.72)
    6.8%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.
    • Almere City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Jong AZ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Almere City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
    • There are questionable in Almere City: Druijf F. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    07.04.2023 Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    22.08.2022 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:2
    Latest results of Almere City
    20.10.2025 Roda - Almere City 2:0
    17.10.2025 Almere City - Cambuur 1:1
    10.10.2025 Almere City - Vitesse 2:2
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag12111035:82734
    2Cambuur1383226:17927
    3Roda1374225:16925
    4Jong PSV1363425:21421
    5Waalwijk1363424:20421
    6Willem II1363417:21-421
    7Den Bosch1362524:27-320
    8Dordrecht1354418:17119
    9Venlo1360719:18118
    10De Graafschap1244419:19016
    11FC Emmen1351722:25-316
    12Helmond1351716:19-316
    13Jong Utrecht1343616:21-515
    14Maastricht1343615:21-615
    15Jong AZ1342721:24-314
    16Oss1335518:24-614
    17Almere City1332823:23011
    18Eindhoven FC133289:27-1811
    19Jong Ajax1315719:26-78
    20Vitesse1143422:1933

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