Result
3:4
26/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 24
- Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 3.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (401/467) | 81% (318/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 3.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 3.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (401/467) | 81% (318/394) |
| Long passes |
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| 63% (34/54) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (130/171) | 71% (85/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 1.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.67 | 2.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Bouziane W. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽, Lawrence J. (A),
- 26', 1 - 2, Rijkhoff J. ⚽,
- 27', Oufkir A. 🟨,
- 37', Sam A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 3, Poku E. ⚽, Kalisvaart J. (A),
- 60', Budko B. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
- 60', Zwart J. ↓, Dekkers S. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 3, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Dekkers S. (A),
- 66', 2 - 4, Druijf F. ⚽,
- 70', Toppenberg K. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
- 71', Sam A. ↓, Reith B. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 4, Kovacs B. ⚽, Oufkir A. (A),
- 76', Kalisvaart J. 🟨,
- 78', van den Ban Y. ↓, Mastoras E. ↑,
- 78', Oufkir A. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
- 86', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
- 86', Druijf F. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 86', Bijleveld T. ↓, Vianello T. ↑,
- 90', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
- 90+3', van Duijl B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
26.8% | Draw
22.8% | Almere City
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.47 ↑
(3.02) |
4.12 ↑
(4.02) |
1.86 ↓
(2.04) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Almere City (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Jong AZ (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Almere City (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Almere City will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almere City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Almere City (votes: 9 - 81.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 3.
- Jong AZ has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Almere City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Almere City might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 2.7:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Almere City?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City were as follows:
24.10.2025
Almere City
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:3
07.04.2023
Almere City
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
22.08.2022
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Almere City
3:2
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
