Result
1:1
15/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 6
- Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (237/317) | 82% (366/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (237/317) | 82% (366/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/60) | 55% (38/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (51/83) | 78% (100/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Pynadath J. ⚽, Drakpe A. (A),
- 22', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Boogaard K. ⚽, Smits A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Afaker M. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
- 61', van der Sluijs J. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 61', Eduardo Y. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
- 61', Smits A. ↓, Bouziane W. ↑,
- 73', Drakpe A. ↓, Sunderland L. ↑,
- 81', Pynadath J. ↓, Malasomma M. ↑,
- 82', Dijkstra E. ↓, Esajas J. ↑,
- 82', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Inge K. ↑,
- 87', Toppenberg K. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
- 87', Boogaard K. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
- 90', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kwakman D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dordrecht
47.3% | Draw
24.5% | Jong AZ Alkmaar
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5%)
Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.74) |
3.89 ↓
(4.26) |
3.47 ↓
(4.03) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Dordrecht will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 1.
- Dordrecht is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jong AZ has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Dordrecht is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Dordrecht: Vetkal M.
(Red Card)
de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
van Asten R.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Dordrecht has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Dordrecht?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
17.01.2025
Dordrecht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:1
26.08.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Dordrecht
3:1
22.01.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Dordrecht
5:1
22.09.2023
Dordrecht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:0
21.04.2023
Dordrecht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Latest results of Dordrecht
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Roda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Venlo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Willem II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Oss | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Helmond | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Almere City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Jong Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Maastricht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
