Result
1:2
09/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (460/543) | 79% (280/355) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (460/543) | 79% (280/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (36/60) | 44% (32/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (149/198) | 70% (63/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Yoon D. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Darelas A. ⚽, Bae S. (A),
- 35', Dekker M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Oerip J. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
- 46', Dekker M. ↓, Zwart J. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Bouziane W. (A),
- 62', 1 - 2, Schipper J. (Own goal),
- 63', Bae S. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
- 63', de Bie J. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
- 63', Budko B. ↓, Mastoras E. ↑,
- 71', Yoon D. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
- 77', van den Ban Y. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
- 84', Sunderland L. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
- 84', Carrillo S. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 84', Oufkir A. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
37.9% | Draw
25.3% | Dordrecht
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.1) |
3.71 ↓
(4.04) |
2.54 ↓
(2.89) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 31.2% – 83%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Dordrecht (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dordrecht will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 2.
- Jong AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dordrecht is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Jong AZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dordrecht: Bischof N.
(Ankle Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Hardley B.
(Injury)
Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Dordrecht?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Dordrecht has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht were as follows:
15.09.2025
Dordrecht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:1
17.01.2025
Dordrecht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:1
26.08.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Dordrecht
3:1
22.01.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Dordrecht
5:1
22.09.2023
Dordrecht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:0
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
