Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
1:2
12/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 22
  • Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.930.98
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
287
Shots on target
121
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
102
Passes
85% (420/492)80% (255/319)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.930.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.950.91
Total shots
287
Shots on target
121
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
83
Shots inside the box
204
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
4713
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free kicks
719
Passes
85% (420/492)80% (255/319)
Long passes
57% (34/60)52% (34/66)
Passes in final third
78% (152/194)57% (40/70)
Crosses
21% (5/24)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.060.45
Throw ins
2010
Fouls
197
Tackles
60% (12/20)73% (16/22)
Duels won
4660
Clearances
1018
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
010
xGOT faced
0.912.95
Goals prevented
-0.091.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, van Duijl B. (Own goal),
  • 42', Budko B. 🟨,
  • 43', Atikallah R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Atikallah R. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
  • 48', van der Lans M. 🟨,
  • 54', Schipper J. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 2, O'Niel D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 62', Budko B. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
  • 62', Oufkir A. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
  • 62', Sin M. ↓, Oerip J. ↑,
  • 65', van der Lans M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
  • 71', Nash P. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
  • 71', Chourak N. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
  • 71', Appiah A. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
  • 76', Bouziane W. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
  • 84', Ouazane A. ↓, Abdella M. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Robbemond R. ⚽, Simons S. (A),
  • 90+5', Alders G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong AZ Alkmaar
55.4%		Draw
22.1%		Jong Ajax
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 21.3% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 20.6% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
    •

    Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.69 ↑
    (1.64)    		 4.18 ↓
    (4.37)    		 4.1 ↓
    (4.28)    		 7.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Jong AZ (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Jong AZ is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax were as follows:
    18.08.2025 Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:1
    13.01.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 2:1
    17.09.2024 Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    10.05.2024 Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:4
    18.09.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 5:2
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    19.12.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar 3:2 ✺
    12.12.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht 1:4 ✺
    05.12.2025 Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺
    28.11.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:2 ✺
    24.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Oss 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    22.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Waalwijk 0:2 ✺
    12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Almere City - Jong Ajax 3:2 ✺
    01.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Vitesse 2:0 ✺
    24.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
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