Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
1:2
12/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 22
  • Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.930.98
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
287
Shots on target
121
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
102
Passes
85% (420/492)80% (255/319)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.930.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.950.91
Total shots
287
Shots on target
121
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
83
Shots inside the box
204
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
4713
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free kicks
719
Passes
85% (420/492)80% (255/319)
Long passes
57% (34/60)52% (34/66)
Passes in final third
78% (152/194)57% (40/70)
Crosses
21% (5/24)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.060.45
Throw ins
2010
Fouls
197
Tackles
60% (12/20)73% (16/22)
Duels won
4660
Clearances
1018
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
010
xGOT faced
0.912.95
Goals prevented
-0.091.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, van Duijl B. (Own goal),
  • 42', Budko B. 🟨,
  • 43', Atikallah R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Atikallah R. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
  • 48', van der Lans M. 🟨,
  • 54', Schipper J. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 2, O'Niel D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 62', Budko B. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
  • 62', Oufkir A. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
  • 62', Sin M. ↓, Oerip J. ↑,
  • 65', van der Lans M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
  • 71', Nash P. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
  • 71', Chourak N. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
  • 71', Appiah A. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
  • 76', Bouziane W. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
  • 84', Ouazane A. ↓, Abdella M. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Robbemond R. ⚽, Simons S. (A),
  • 90+5', Alders G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong AZ Alkmaar
55.4%		Draw
22.1%		Jong Ajax
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 21.3% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 20.6% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
    •

    Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.69 ↑
    (1.64)    		 4.18 ↓
    (4.37)    		 4.1 ↓
    (4.28)    		 7.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Jong AZ (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Jong AZ is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax were as follows:
    18.08.2025 Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:1
    13.01.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 2:1
    17.09.2024 Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    10.05.2024 Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:4
    18.09.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 5:2
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    19.12.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar 3:2 ✺
    12.12.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht 1:4 ✺
    05.12.2025 Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺
    28.11.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:2 ✺
    24.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Oss 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    22.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Waalwijk 0:2 ✺
    12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Almere City - Jong Ajax 3:2 ✺
    01.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Vitesse 2:0 ✺
    24.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

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