Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
11/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 1
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.22
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
86% (440/512)81% (283/350)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.101.28
Total shots
128
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2814
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
617
Passes
86% (440/512)81% (283/350)
Long passes
70% (42/60)63% (42/67)
Passes in final third
79% (142/179)67% (47/70)
Crosses
27% (6/22)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.37
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
176
Tackles
78% (14/18)78% (18/23)
Duels won
3757
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.281.10
Goals prevented
-1.72-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 13', Esajas J. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Kramer M. (Pen),
  • 19', 1 - 1, van Duijn S. , Robbemond R. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 1, Hartog J. , Boogaard K. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 2, Lokesa C. , Cleonise D. (A),
  • 45+1', Robbemond R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', van Duijl B. , Menu M. ,
  • 59', Cleonise D. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 59', van Eijma R. , Altena J. ,
  • 65', van Gelderen L. 🟨,
  • 69', Kramer M. , van der Venne R. ,
  • 69', van Gelderen L. , Kuster H. ,
  • 72', 2 - 3, Uneken J. , Familia-Castillo J. (A),
  • 77', Robbemond R. , Budko B. ,
  • 77', Hartog J. , Oud J. ,
  • 77', Esajas J. , Inge K. ,
  • 79', Uneken J. 🟨,
  • 81', Toppenberg K. , van den Ban Y. ,
  • 84', Lokesa C. , Witteveen M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong AZ Alkmaar
30.5%
Draw
25%
Waalwijk
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 24.4% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (3.26)
    3.74
    (3.77)
    2.11
    (1.95)
    6.7%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Waalwijk is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Waalwijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Waalwijk has had a series of away games.
    • Waalwijk might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Dekker M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: Schaapman M. (Knee Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong AZ: van Duijl B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    02.08.2025 Heracles Almelo - Waalwijk 3:1
    30.07.2025 Twente - Waalwijk 1:0
    19.07.2025 Waalwijk - Utrecht 2:1
    12.07.2025 Den Bosch - Waalwijk 0:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

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