Waalwijk vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
2:1
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 31
  • Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.140.45
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
42
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
52
Passes
85% (416/487)84% (380/454)
Expected goals (xG)
1.140.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.500.11
Total shots
119
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
74
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2317
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free kicks
107
Passes
85% (416/487)84% (380/454)
Long passes
52% (33/63)69% (49/71)
Passes in final third
75% (76/102)65% (92/141)
Crosses
33% (4/12)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.90
Throw ins
1123
Fouls
710
Tackles
57% (16/28)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
1510
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.111.50
Goals prevented
-0.89-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Kuster H. ⚽,
  • 14', 2 - 0, Uneken J. ⚽, Cleonise D. (A),
  • 40', 2 - 1, Andersen F. E. ⚽, Ichihara R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', van der Klaauw D. ↓, Bouziane W. ↑,
  • 61', Cleonise D. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
  • 61', Kuster H. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
  • 61', Fage R. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
  • 61', Twisk N. ↓, Budko B. ↑,
  • 61', Ichihara R. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
  • 61', Oerip J. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
  • 68', Robbemond R. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
  • 75', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
50%		Draw
23%		Jong AZ Alkmaar
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 23.1% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 22.6% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
    •

    Waalwijk - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.87 ↑
    (1.73)    		 4.06 ↑
    (4)    		 3.47 ↓
    (3.91)    		 7%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 40% – 93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Jong AZ (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
    • Waalwijk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jong AZ is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Waalwijk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R. (Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Chavez Garcia M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B. (Injury) van Gelderen L. (Muscle Injury) van der Venne R. (Knock)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    11.08.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk 2:3
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    06.03.2026 VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk 0:3 ✺
    27.02.2026 Waalwijk - FC Eindhoven 2:1 ✺
    20.02.2026 Cambuur - Waalwijk 1:1 ✺
    13.02.2026 Waalwijk - Roda 1:2 ✺
    08.02.2026 Willem II - Waalwijk 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    09.03.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Emmen 2:3 ✺
    27.02.2026 Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:0 ✺
    23.02.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch 2:2 ✺
    13.02.2026 FC Oss - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:3 ✺
    09.02.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 32242672:314174
    2Cambuur31217363:333070
    3De Graafschap31157958:49952
    4Willem II31148945:38750
    5Jong PSV321551262:56650
    6Almere City321541366:531349
    7Waalwijk321391054:47748
    8Roda321211950:47347
    9Dordrecht3211101143:43043
    10Den Bosch321271355:57-243
    11Eindhoven FC311241545:55-1040
    12Venlo321141739:49-1037
    13FC Emmen301061446:54-836
    14Jong Utrecht32991448:54-636
    15Maastricht32991439:61-2236
    16Vitesse321291149:49033
    17Helmond32961737:56-1933
    18Jong Ajax32881645:57-1232
    19Jong AZ32941953:63-1031
    20Oss326111539:56-1729

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
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