Result
2:4
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 5
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 0.95 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
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26 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 10 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
73% (173/238) | 85% (418/492) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 0.95 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.83 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
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26 | 17 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 10 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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13 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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13 | 12 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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25 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 14 |
Passes |
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73% (173/238) | 85% (418/492) |
Long passes |
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43% (27/63) | 49% (35/71) |
Passes in final third |
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57% (39/69) | 70% (90/128) |
Crosses |
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30% (7/23) | 14% (2/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.53 | 0.44 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 14 |
Fouls |
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14 | 12 |
Tackles |
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74% (14/19) | 78% (7/9) |
Duels won |
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42 | 30 |
Clearances |
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27 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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0.84 | 0.83 |
Goals prevented |
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-3.16 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', Thomas A. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Burgering B. ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 0, Burgering B. ⚽, Sam A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 54', 2 - 1, Koller J. ⚽, Abed T. (A),
- 56', Waayers E. 🟨,
- 62', Koller J. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
- 62', de Haan M. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
- 62', Bijleveld T. ↓, Engel M. ↑,
- 66', Druijf F. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 2, Verkooijen N. ⚽,
- 74', 2 - 3, Thomas A. ⚽, van de Riet R. (A),
- 75', Kadile J. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
- 75', Rijkhoff J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 76', van Duiven R. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
- 76', Bawuah J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 77', Druijf F. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 84', Waayers E. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
- 84', van de Riet R. ↓, Bassey E. ↑,
- 86', Engel M. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 4, Bouhoudane S. ⚽, Abed T. (A),
- 90+3', Sam A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Almere City 61.9% | Draw 20.3% | Jong PSV 17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Almere City - Jong PSV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↑ (1.44) |
4.61 ↑ (4.5) |
5.25 ↓ (6) |
6.9% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Almere City - Jong PSV?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jong PSV will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
- Almere City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jong PSV is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Almere City is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong PSV: Bassey E.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:36. (average 2.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 2.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Jong PSV?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Almere City?
Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Jong PSV were as follows:
03.02.2023
Almere City
-
Jong PSV
1:2
07.11.2022
Jong PSV
-
Almere City
0:1
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
2 | Cambuur | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
6 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Den Bosch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
10 | De Graafschap | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 12 |
11 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
12 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
13 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
14 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
15 | FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
16 | Almere City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 9 |
17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
20 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )