Result
2:3
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 20
- Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (446/530) | 78% (305/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (446/530) | 78% (305/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (79/116) | 66% (69/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.85 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, van den Berg J. ⚽, Verkooijen N. (A),
- 45', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Fernandez N. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 46', Vianello T. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Druijf F. (A),
- 60', 2 - 1, van den Berg J. ⚽, Verkooijen N. (A),
- 63', Kuhn W. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
- 63', Kluit F. ↓, Koller J. ↑,
- 67', Verkooijen N. 🟨,
- 73', Waayers E. ↓, Bassey E. ↑,
- 77', Lawrence J. 🟨,
- 81', Vianello T. ↓, Bijleveld T. ↑,
- 82', Druijf F. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 82', Rijkhoff J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Bijleveld T. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
- 86', 2 - 3, Reith B. ⚽,
- 86', Merien F. ↓, van der Plas S. ↑,
- 89', Kadile J. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV
34.2% | Draw
22.3% | Almere City
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Jong PSV - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(2.94) |
4.2 ↑
(4.13) |
2.16 ↑
(2.05) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Almere City will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 26.7% – 80.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almere City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 4.
- Jong PSV has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Almere City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Jong PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Almere City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Almere City: Sam A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 40:41. (average 2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Almere City?
Jong PSV has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Jong PSV?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Almere City were as follows:
12.09.2025
Almere City
-
Jong PSV
2:4
03.02.2023
Almere City
-
Jong PSV
1:2
07.11.2022
Jong PSV
-
Almere City
0:1
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
