Almere City vs Jong PSV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Almere City - Jong PSV
Result
2:4
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 5
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.95
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
2617
Shots on target
610
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
73% (173/238)85% (418/492)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.830.84
Total shots
2617
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
105
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
1312
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
73% (173/238)85% (418/492)
Long passes
43% (27/63)49% (35/71)
Passes in final third
57% (39/69)70% (90/128)
Crosses
30% (7/23)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.44
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1412
Tackles
74% (14/19)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4230
Clearances
2723
Interceptions
33
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
0.840.83
Goals prevented
-3.16-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', Thomas A. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Burgering B. ,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Burgering B. , Sam A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Koller J. , Abed T. (A),
  • 56', Waayers E. 🟨,
  • 62', Koller J. , Verkooijen N. ,
  • 62', de Haan M. , el Dahri H. ,
  • 62', Bijleveld T. , Engel M. ,
  • 66', Druijf F. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Verkooijen N. ,
  • 74', 2 - 3, Thomas A. , van de Riet R. (A),
  • 75', Kadile J. , Huisman B. ,
  • 75', Rijkhoff J. , de Nijs O. ,
  • 76', van Duiven R. , Bouhoudane S. ,
  • 76', Bawuah J. , Sidibe S. ,
  • 77', Druijf F. , Poku E. ,
  • 84', Waayers E. , Raap Y. ,
  • 84', van de Riet R. , Bassey E. ,
  • 86', Engel M. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 4, Bouhoudane S. , Abed T. (A),
  • 90+3', Sam A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almere City
61.9%
Draw
20.3%
Jong PSV
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 20.5% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4% 20.9% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Almere City - Jong PSV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.44)
    4.61
    (4.5)
    5.25
    (6)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Almere City - Jong PSV?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jong PSV will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
    • Almere City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jong PSV is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Almere City is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong PSV: Bassey E. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:36. (average 2.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 2.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Jong PSV were as follows:
    03.02.2023 Almere City - Jong PSV 1:2
    07.11.2022 Jong PSV - Almere City 0:1
    Latest results of Almere City
    30.08.2025 Waalwijk - Almere City 2:0
    22.08.2025 Almere City - Willem II 0:1
    17.08.2025 Emmen - Almere City 1:4
    19.07.2025 Almere City - Umm-Salal 5:2
    12.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:2
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    29.08.2025 Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    23.08.2025 Dordrecht - Jong PSV 1:2
    15.08.2025 VVV-Venlo - Jong PSV 0:2
    11.08.2025 Jong PSV - Emmen 3:1
    18.07.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 1:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag981027:72025
    2Cambuur1072121:12923
    3Jong PSV1062221:13820
    4Roda1053215:14118
    5Willem II1052312:13-117
    6Dordrecht1044215:11416
    7Waalwijk1043316:14215
    8Den Bosch942320:18214
    9Helmond1041511:14-313
    10De Graafschap933315:14112
    11Venlo1040614:17-312
    12Maastricht103259:14-511
    13Oss1032516:22-611
    14Eindhoven FC103259:16-711
    15FC Emmen1031615:21-610
    16Almere City930619:1549
    17Jong AZ1022612:19-78
    18Jong Utrecht1022612:20-88
    19Jong Ajax1013616:22-66
    20Vitesse631211:101-2

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