Jong PSV vs Almere City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 20
  • Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.082.08
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1120
Shots on target
511
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
84% (446/530)78% (305/389)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.082.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.15
Total shots
1120
Shots on target
511
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
714
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2040
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
139
Passes
84% (446/530)78% (305/389)
Long passes
48% (25/52)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
68% (79/116)66% (69/105)
Crosses
17% (2/12)14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.90
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
913
Tackles
33% (4/12)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4843
Clearances
3221
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
1.151.31
Goals prevented
-1.85-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, van den Berg J. , Verkooijen N. (A),
  • 45', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Fernandez N. , Sidibe S. ,
  • 46', Vianello T. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Rijkhoff J. , Druijf F. (A),
  • 60', 2 - 1, van den Berg J. , Verkooijen N. (A),
  • 63', Kuhn W. , van de Riet R. ,
  • 63', Kluit F. , Koller J. ,
  • 67', Verkooijen N. 🟨,
  • 73', Waayers E. , Bassey E. ,
  • 77', Lawrence J. 🟨,
  • 81', Vianello T. , Bijleveld T. ,
  • 82', Druijf F. , Providence R. ,
  • 82', Rijkhoff J. , de Nijs O. ,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Bijleveld T. , Poku E. (A),
  • 86', 2 - 3, Reith B. ,
  • 86', Merien F. , van der Plas S. ,
  • 89', Kadile J. , Jacobs Jo. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong PSV
34.2%
Draw
22.3%
Almere City
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 22.6% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 21.6% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Jong PSV - Almere City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.94)
    4.2
    (4.13)
    2.16
    (2.05)
    6.9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Almere City?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Almere City will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 26.7%80.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almere City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 4.
    • Jong PSV has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Almere City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Jong PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Almere City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Almere City: Sam A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 40:41. (average 2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Almere City were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Almere City - Jong PSV 2:4
    03.02.2023 Almere City - Jong PSV 1:2
    07.11.2022 Jong PSV - Almere City 0:1
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    05.12.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV 4:0
    01.12.2025 Jong PSV - Waalwijk 3:1
    25.11.2025 Vitesse - Jong PSV 3:1
    21.11.2025 Jong PSV - Jong Utrecht 3:3
    Latest results of Almere City
    05.12.2025 Almere City - Jong Ajax 3:2
    29.11.2025 FC Oss - Almere City 1:2
    24.11.2025 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 3:0
    21.11.2025 Den Bosch - Almere City 5:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 36272782:354783
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3Willem II361881054:411362
    4De Graafschap361791071:561560
    5Almere City361741573:591455
    6Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    7Roda3614121057:50754
    8Jong PSV351651463:59453
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3612111346:50-447
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Venlo361261847:55-842
    13FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    18Helmond36991840:61-2136
    19Oss358111646:61-1535
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie