Result
3:0
22/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 7
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (276/348) | 79% (280/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (276/348) | 79% (280/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 52% (35/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (67/96) | 65% (66/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (19/19) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.03 | -1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, van Duiven R. (Pen),
- 38', 2 - 0, van Duiven R. ⚽, Bassey E. (A),
- 41', Verbeek D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', El Allachi C. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
- 53', Sidibe S. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
- 58', van Leeuwen T. 🟨,
- 60', Bresser M. 🟨,
- 62', Fernandez N. ↓, van der Plas S. ↑,
- 62', Bresser M. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 0, Abed T. ⚽, van den Berg J. (A),
- 72', Bassey E. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
- 72', van de Riet R. ↓, Koller J. ↑,
- 74', Monzialo K. ↓, Sille G. ↑,
- 74', van Leeuwen T. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
- 74', Verbeek D. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 76', van den Berg J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV
58.9% | Draw
23.5% | Den Bosch
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong PSV's performance.Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Den Bosch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong PSV that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Den Bosch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jong PSV - Den Bosch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(1.96) |
5.21 ↑
(3.6) |
7.39 ↑
(3.5) |
-15.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Den Bosch?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Den Bosch (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1.
- Jong PSV is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Den Bosch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Jong PSV might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Den Bosch?
Jong PSV has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Jong PSV?
Den Bosch has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Den Bosch were as follows:
31.03.2025
Jong PSV
-
Den Bosch
2:4
13.12.2024
Den Bosch
-
Jong PSV
1:1
13.07.2024
Den Bosch
-
Jong PSV
1:0
15.01.2024
Jong PSV
-
Den Bosch
2:2
01.09.2023
Den Bosch
-
Jong PSV
1:2
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
