Result
4:0
26/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 24
- Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (419/496) | 77% (251/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.58 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (419/496) | 77% (251/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (115/145) | 55% (51/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 3.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Kluit F. ⚽,
- 6', 2 - 0, Merien F. ⚽,
- 29', Leipold A. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
- 29', Ingason H. ↓, Makanza N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Koglin B. 🟨,
- 61', Verkooijen N. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
- 66', Geerts D. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
- 71', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 0, Sidibe S. ⚽,
- 79', Kluit F. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
- 80', Bassey E. ↓, Waayers E. ↑,
- 83', Lukowicz M. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
- 84', Poll T. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 0, Bahaty M. ⚽, Kuhn W. (A),
- 87', van Duiven R. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
- 87', Kuhn W. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV
43.4% | Draw
24.3% | Helmond Sport
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Jong PSV - Helmond Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.09) |
3.81 ↓
(3.98) |
2.9 ↓
(2.93) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Helmond Sport?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Helmond Sport (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Helmond Sport (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Jong PSV will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Helmond Sport (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 2.
- In recent matches, Jong PSV has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Helmond Sport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Helmond Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Jong PSV has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Olij N.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Helmond Sport: Llonch P.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Helmond Sport?
Jong PSV has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Jong PSV?
Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Helmond Sport were as follows:
08.11.2025
Helmond Sport
-
Jong PSV
2:3
14.03.2025
Helmond Sport
-
Jong PSV
1:1
30.09.2024
Jong PSV
-
Helmond Sport
1:3
19.01.2024
Helmond Sport
-
Jong PSV
2:2
28.08.2023
Jong PSV
-
Helmond Sport
2:1
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
