Jong PSV vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Herdgang (Eindhoven).

Eerste Divisie - Round 24
Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
3.12	1.08
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
24	11
Shots on target
13	2
Big chances
5	1
Corner kicks
8	3
Passes
84% (419/496)	77% (251/324)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
3.12	1.08
xG on target (xGOT)
3.58	0.53
Total shots
24	11
Shots on target
13	2
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
5	4
Shots inside the box
14	6
Shots outside the box
10	5
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
5	1
Corner kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
30	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
16	9
Passes
84% (419/496)	77% (251/324)
Long passes
47% (23/49)	47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
79% (115/145)	55% (51/92)
Crosses
23% (6/26)	33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	0.80
Throw ins
23	10
Fouls
9	16
Tackles
38% (5/13)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
54	38
Clearances
15	31
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	9
xGOT faced
0.53	3.58
Goals prevented
0.53	-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Kluit F. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Merien F. ⚽,
29', Leipold A. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
29', Ingason H. ↓, Makanza N. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Koglin B. 🟨,
61', Verkooijen N. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
66', Geerts D. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
71', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
75', 3 - 0, Sidibe S. ⚽,
79', Kluit F. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
80', Bassey E. ↓, Waayers E. ↑,
83', Lukowicz M. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
84', Poll T. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Bahaty M. ⚽, Kuhn W. (A),
87', van Duiven R. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
87', Kuhn W. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Jong PSV
43.4%

Draw
24.3%

Helmond Sport
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

23.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

22.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Jong PSV - Helmond Sport Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.09)	3.81 ↓ (3.98)	2.9 ↓ (2.93)	7% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Helmond Sport?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Helmond Sport (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Helmond Sport (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Jong PSV will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jong PSV will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Helmond Sport (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 2.
In recent matches, Jong PSV has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Helmond Sport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Helmond Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Jong PSV has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Jong PSV: Olij N. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Helmond Sport: Llonch P. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Helmond Sport?

Jong PSV has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Jong PSV?

Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Helmond Sport were as follows:

08.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong PSV 2:3

14.03.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong PSV 1:1

30.09.2024 Jong PSV - Helmond Sport 1:3

19.01.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong PSV 2:2

28.08.2023 Jong PSV - Helmond Sport 2:1

Latest results of Jong PSV

22.01.2026 Southampton U21 - Jong PSV 1:3 ✺

19.01.2026 Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV 5:3 ✺

19.12.2025 ADO Den Haag - Jong PSV 1:2 ✺

15.12.2025 Everton U21 - Jong PSV 3:2 ✺

12.12.2025 Jong PSV - Almere City 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Helmond Sport

16.01.2026 Helmond Sport - Vitesse 2:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Helmond Sport - Willem II 2:2 ✺

12.12.2025 Emmen - Helmond Sport 4:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 2:4 ✺

28.11.2025 Cambuur - Helmond Sport 0:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	33	25	2	6	74:32	42	77
2	Cambuur	32	21	7	4	66:37	29	70
3	Willem II	32	15	8	9	50:38	12	53
4	De Graafschap	32	15	7	10	59:51	8	52
5	Almere City	33	16	4	13	68:53	15	52
6	Jong PSV	33	15	5	13	62:58	4	50
7	Waalwijk	33	13	9	11	56:50	6	48
8	Roda	33	12	12	9	51:48	3	48
9	Den Bosch	33	13	7	13	58:59	-1	46
10	Dordrecht	33	11	10	12	44:46	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	32	12	4	16	46:57	-11	40
12	Jong Utrecht	33	10	9	14	51:55	-4	39
13	Venlo	33	11	5	17	41:51	-10	38
14	FC Emmen	31	10	7	14	48:56	-8	37
15	Vitesse	33	13	9	11	51:49	2	36
16	Maastricht	33	9	9	15	39:66	-27	36
17	Jong AZ	33	10	4	19	57:66	-9	34
18	Helmond	33	9	7	17	38:57	-19	34
19	Jong Ajax	33	8	8	17	45:59	-14	32
20	Oss	33	7	11	15	41:57	-16	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie