Result
5:3
19/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 23
- Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (266/358) | 76% (277/363) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 25 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (266/358) | 76% (277/363) |
| Long passes |
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| 39% (24/61) | 38% (21/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (81/127) | 65% (71/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 65% (17/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.11 | -3.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 9', van Ommeren J. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Bouhoudane S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9', Iqbal Z. ↓, El Arguioui R. ↑,
- 11', 0 - 2, Bouhamdi A. ⚽, Kuhn W. (A),
- 13', Kloosterboer P. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 2, El Arguioui R. ⚽, Menzo B. (A),
- 28', 2 - 2, Viereck N. ⚽, Agougil O. (A),
- 30', 2 - 3, van den Berg J. ⚽, Bahaty M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', van Ommeren J. ↓, Ghaddari M. ↑,
- 46', Bouhamdi A. ↓, Monamay M. ↑,
- 52', van der Plas S. 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 3, Menzo B. ⚽,
- 62', van den Berg J. ↓, Waayers E. ↑,
- 62', Bassey E. ↓, Mulders B. ↑,
- 67', Menzo B. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
- 67', El Arguioui R. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 3, Plantinga V. ⚽,
- 71', Kuhn W. 🟨,
- 71', Bouhoudane S. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
- 80', den Boggende T. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
- 81', Bahaty M. 🟨,
- 83', Sidibe S. ↓, Beerens J. ↑,
- 88', Kooy W. 🟨,
- 90', Dundas N. 🟨,
- 90+2', 5 - 3, Ghaddari M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Jong Utrecht 54.9% | Draw 21.5% | Jong PSV 23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Utrecht's performance.Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong PSV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Utrecht that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong PSV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (2.19) |
4.31 ↑ (4.14) |
3.93 ↑ (2.69) |
7.7% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Utrecht: 59.8% – 94.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jong Utrecht will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Jong PSV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Jong Utrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Olij N.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against Jong PSV?
Jong Utrecht has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Jong Utrecht?
Jong PSV has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV were as follows:
21.11.2025
Jong PSV
-
Jong Utrecht
3:3
09.05.2025
Jong PSV
-
Jong Utrecht
3:1
16.08.2024
Jong Utrecht
-
Jong PSV
0:2
22.04.2024
Jong PSV
-
Jong Utrecht
2:0
01.12.2023
Jong Utrecht
-
Jong PSV
0:0
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Latest results of Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )