Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio vs Luka Pavlovic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Mexico City Challenger Men Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Luka Pavlovic
Result
1:2
11/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
210
Double Faults
511
1st Serve Percentage
47%38%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (23/35)74% (28/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (21/40)45% (28/62)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
26% (10/38)34% (12/35)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (34/62)48% (19/40)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
59% (44/75)56% (56/100)
Return Points Won
44% (44/100)41% (31/75)
Total Points Won
50% (88/175)50% (87/175)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)

Chances of winning


Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
57.5%
Luka Pavlovic
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Luka Pavlovic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.62)

    2.19
    (2.17)
    7.4%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Luka Pavlovic?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pavlovic will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pavlovic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Varillas is ranked ATP: 251. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 295.
    • At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Varillas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Varillas will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Alves M.2 : 0
    2Rodriguez Taverna S.Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    3Pavlovic L. (Alt)Napolitano S.2 : 0
    4Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (6)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A. (3)Mayo A.2 : 0
    6Mejia N.Cressy M. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Hernandez A. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 0
    8Tomic B.Paris T. (Alt)2 : 0
    9Ficovich J. P. (5)Perez A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Aguilar J. C. M. (Q)Martin A. (Q)0 : 2
    11Alujas R. (WC)Blanch Dar. (WC)1 : 2
    12Zhukayev B.Meligeni Alves F. (4)1 : 2
    13Huesler M. (7)Zahraj P.2 : 0
    14Janvier M.Oberleitner N. (Q)1 : 2
    15Soto M.Neuchrist M. (Q)2 : 0
    16Dougaz A.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Varillas J. P.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    3Mannarino A. (3)Mejia N.2 : 1
    4Hernandez A.Tomic B.0 : 2
    5Perez A.Martin A.2 : 0
    6Blanch Dar.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    7Huesler M. (7)Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    8Soto M.Dougaz A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Varillas J. P.Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    2Mannarino A. (3)Tomic B.2 : 1
    3Perez A.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    4Huesler M. (7)Dougaz A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Pavlovic L.Mannarino A. (3)2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F. (4)Huesler M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Pavlovic L.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2