Result
1:0
29/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (271/335) | 81% (361/443) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (271/335) | 81% (361/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (30/53) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (88/127) | 45% (30/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Estupinan O. (Pen),
- 11', Ricardinho 🟨,
- 17', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 33', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
- 45', Lainez M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ricardinho ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez I. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 46', Lainez M. ↓, Zaleta M. ↑,
- 46', Leyva A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 50', Almada F. 🟨,
- 63', Fierro S. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 63', Estupinan O. ↓, Puma ↑,
- 63', Fulgencio R. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 73', Mayorga A. 🟨,
- 82', Benedetti N. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 84', Pizarro R. ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
- 90+4', Madson ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juárez
57.3% | Draw
25.5% | Mazatlan
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mazatlan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-15.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mazatlan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juárez - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(2.31) |
3.85 ↑
(3.28) |
5.76 ↑
(2.99) |
1%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Juárez - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
Juárez will win
(61 of 66 users predict this - 92.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.03% – 98.81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juárez will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Juárez is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Colula B.
(Red Card)
Herrera A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Murillo J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Mazatlan?
Juárez has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Juárez?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Mazatlan were as follows:
10.01.2025
Mazatlan
-
Juárez
1:1
13.09.2024
Juárez
-
Mazatlan
1:0
19.04.2024
Mazatlan
-
Juárez
0:2
01.09.2023
Juárez
-
Mazatlan
3:1
25.07.2023
Mazatlan
-
Juárez
2:1
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Juarez | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
