Juárez vs Mazatlan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Juárez - Mazatlan
Result
1:0
29/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.130.31
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
81% (271/335)81% (361/443)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.130.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.30
Total shots
166
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
81% (271/335)81% (361/443)
Long passes
57% (30/53)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
69% (88/127)45% (30/67)
Crosses
42% (8/19)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.18
Throw-ins
2131
Fouls
1710
Tackles
76% (13/17)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.301.36
Goals prevented
0.300.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Estupinan O. (Pen),
  • 11', Ricardinho 🟨,
  • 17', Merolla L. 🟨,
  • 33', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
  • 45', Lainez M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ricardinho , Villalpando D. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez I. , Dudu ,
  • 46', Lainez M. , Zaleta M. ,
  • 46', Leyva A. , Garcia J. ,
  • 50', Almada F. 🟨,
  • 63', Fierro S. , Hernandez D. ,
  • 63', Estupinan O. , Puma ,
  • 63', Fulgencio R. , Zaldivar A. ,
  • 73', Mayorga A. 🟨,
  • 82', Benedetti N. , Meraz R. ,
  • 84', Pizarro R. , Guilherme Castilho ,
  • 90+4', Madson , Lopez E. ,

Chances of winning


Juárez
57.3%
Draw
25.5%
Mazatlan
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 28.5% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 27.5% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.
  • Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mazatlan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mazatlan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Juárez - Mazatlan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.31)
    3.85
    (3.28)
    5.76
    (2.99)
    1%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Juárez - Mazatlan?
  • Users Predictions: Juárez will win (61 of 66 users predict this - 92.42%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.03%98.81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juárez will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Juárez is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mazatlan: Colula B. (Red Card) Herrera A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Murillo J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mazatlan: Intriago J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Mazatlan were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Mazatlan - Juárez 1:1
    13.09.2024 Juárez - Mazatlan 1:0
    19.04.2024 Mazatlan - Juárez 0:2
    01.09.2023 Juárez - Mazatlan 3:1
    25.07.2023 Mazatlan - Juárez 2:1
    Latest results of Juárez
    22.08.2025 Juárez - Santos Laguna 2:1
    11.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:2
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    Latest results of Mazatlan
    23.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tigres UANL 2:2
    17.08.2025 Monterrey - Mazatlan 3:2
    09.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tijuana 2:2
    05.08.2025 Mazatlan - San Diego 0:2
    01.08.2025 Houston Dynamo - Mazatlan 0:2
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca ✔ 15103241:182333
    2Tigres UANL ✔ 1595131:141732
    3Cruz Azul ✔ 1595127:171032
    4Club America ✔ 1594231:161531
    5Monterrey ✔ 1593330:24630
    6Guadalajara Chivas1572624:20423
    7Pachuca1564521:19222
    8Club Tijuana1556426:19721
    9Juarez1555524:25-120
    10Santos Laguna1552820:24-417
    11Atl. San Luis1551923:24-116
    12Atlas1544724:33-916
    13UNAM Pumas1536617:22-515
    14Queretaro1542916:28-1214
    15Mazatlan FC1527619:27-813
    16Necaxa1534819:30-1113
    17Club Leon1534813:27-1413
    18Puebla15231019:38-199

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)