Result
1:2 penalties
27/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Play In - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Tubi TV |
 Puerto-rico | Fox Sports 2 |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (342/388) | 69% (132/192) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (342/388) | 69% (132/192) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (24/40) | 25% (11/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (106/130) | 47% (28/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (5/40) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Monroy P. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Trigos S. (A),
- 19', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Madson ⚽, Puma (A),
- 35', Martinez G. 🟥,
- 35', Murillo J. 🟨,
- 41', Suarez L. ↓, Ruvalcaba J. ↑,
- 41', Pussetto I. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
- 45+8', Madson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Murillo J. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 68', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
- 70', Madson ↓, Valoyes D. ↑,
- 70', Villalpando D. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 75', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
- 75', Orquin R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 86', Padilla A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Manriquez J. 🟥,
- 90+8', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
- 90+9', Trigos S. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Estupinan O. (Pen),
- 1, Carrasquilla A. (Pen),
- 2, Zaldivar A. (Pen),
- 2, Nathan Silva (Pen),
- 3, Hurtado A. (Pen),
- 3, Funes Mori R. (Pen),
- 4, Puma (Pen),
- 4, Caicedo J. (Pen),
- 5, Valoyes D. (Pen),
- 5, Ergas R. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Juárez
33.7% | Draw
31.4% | UNAM
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Juárez - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.35) |
3.01 ↓
(3.35) |
2.71 ↑
(2.65) |
5.9%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Juárez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:11 (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against UNAM?
Juárez has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Juárez?
UNAM has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - UNAM were as follows:
12.04.2025
UNAM
-
Juárez
0:0
17.07.2024
Juárez
-
UNAM
1:2
14.01.2024
UNAM
-
Juárez
1:0
22.08.2023
Juárez
-
UNAM
4:1
08.01.2023
UNAM
-
Juárez
2:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Tigres UANL | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Juarez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Atlas | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
