Juárez vs UNAM: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Juárez).

: Liga MX - Clausura - Play In - Semi-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.37	0.53
Ball Possession
68%	32%
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
88% (342/388)	69% (132/192)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.50	0.80
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
2	5
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
8	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
88% (342/388)	69% (132/192)
Long passes
60% (24/40)	25% (11/44)
Passes in final third
82% (106/130)	47% (28/59)
Crosses
13% (5/40)	50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	0.31
Throw-ins
19	15
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
69% (9/13)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
36	45
Clearances
10	39
Interceptions
2	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.80	0.50
Goals prevented
-0.20	-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Monroy P. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Trigos S. (A),
19', Martinez G. 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Madson ⚽, Puma (A),
35', Martinez G. 🟥,
35', Murillo J. 🟨,
41', Suarez L. ↓, Ruvalcaba J. ↑,
41', Pussetto I. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
45+8', Madson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Murillo J. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
68', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
70', Madson ↓, Valoyes D. ↑,
70', Villalpando D. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
75', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
75', Orquin R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
86', Padilla A. 🟨,
90+6', Manriquez J. 🟥,
90+8', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
90+9', Trigos S. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Estupinan O. (Pen),
1, Carrasquilla A. (Pen),
2, Zaldivar A. (Pen),
2, Nathan Silva (Pen),
3, Hurtado A. (Pen),
3, Funes Mori R. (Pen),
4, Puma (Pen),
4, Caicedo J. (Pen),
5, Valoyes D. (Pen),
5, Ergas R. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Juárez
33.7%

Draw
31.4%

UNAM
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.1%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Juárez - UNAM Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.35)	3.01 ↓ (3.35)	2.71 ↑ (2.65)	5.9% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Juárez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:11 (average 2:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against UNAM?

Juárez has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Juárez?

UNAM has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - UNAM were as follows:

12.04.2025 UNAM - Juárez 0:0

17.07.2024 Juárez - UNAM 1:2

14.01.2024 UNAM - Juárez 1:0

22.08.2023 Juárez - UNAM 4:1

08.01.2023 UNAM - Juárez 2:1

Latest results of Juárez

20.04.2025 Juárez - Querétaro 0:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Juárez - Necaxa 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 UNAM - Juárez 0:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Atlas - Juárez 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Juárez - Puebla 2:0 ✺

Latest results of UNAM

19.04.2025 Tigres UANL - UNAM 2:1 ✺

16.04.2025 UNAM - Santos Laguna 2:0 ✺

12.04.2025 UNAM - Juárez 0:0 ✺

09.04.2025 UNAM - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Cruz Azul - UNAM 3:2 ✺

Mexican Liga MX Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santos Laguna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Monterrey	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cruz Azul	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Atlas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Atl. San Luis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Guadalajara Chivas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Necaxa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Pachuca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Toluca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Club America	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Puebla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Tigres UANL	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	UNAM Pumas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Queretaro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Club Tijuana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Club Leon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Juarez	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mazatlan FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Juárez - UNAM?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Tubi TV
Puerto-rico	Fox Sports 2
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com