Result
1:2 penalties
27/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Play In - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Tubi TV |
Puerto-rico | Fox Sports 2 |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.37 | 0.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
68% | 32% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
88% (342/388) | 69% (132/192) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.37 | 0.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.50 | 0.80 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
88% (342/388) | 69% (132/192) |
Long passes |
---|
60% (24/40) | 25% (11/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
82% (106/130) | 47% (28/59) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (5/40) | 50% (3/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.35 | 0.31 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (9/13) | 80% (12/15) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 39 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.80 | 0.50 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.20 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Monroy P. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Trigos S. (A),
- 19', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Madson ⚽, Puma (A),
- 35', Martinez G. 🟥,
- 35', Murillo J. 🟨,
- 41', Suarez L. ↓, Ruvalcaba J. ↑,
- 41', Pussetto I. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
- 45+8', Madson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Murillo J. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 68', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
- 70', Madson ↓, Valoyes D. ↑,
- 70', Villalpando D. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 75', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
- 75', Orquin R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 86', Padilla A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Manriquez J. 🟥,
- 90+8', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
- 90+9', Trigos S. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Estupinan O. (Pen),
- 1, Carrasquilla A. (Pen),
- 2, Zaldivar A. (Pen),
- 2, Nathan Silva (Pen),
- 3, Hurtado A. (Pen),
- 3, Funes Mori R. (Pen),
- 4, Puma (Pen),
- 4, Caicedo J. (Pen),
- 5, Valoyes D. (Pen),
- 5, Ergas R. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Juárez 33.7% | Draw 31.4% | UNAM 34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Juárez - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.79 ↑ (2.35) |
3.01 ↓ (3.35) |
2.71 ↑ (2.65) |
5.9% (10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Juárez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:11 (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against UNAM?
Juárez has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Juárez?
UNAM has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - UNAM were as follows:
12.04.2025
UNAM
-
Juárez
0:0
17.07.2024
Juárez
-
UNAM
1:2
14.01.2024
UNAM
-
Juárez
1:0
22.08.2023
Juárez
-
UNAM
4:1
08.01.2023
UNAM
-
Juárez
2:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )