Júbilo Iwata vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga
Result
1:2
20/07/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
96
Free Kicks
2112
Corner Kicks
13
Offsides
22
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Fouls
921
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
394419
Completed Passes
282304
Tackles
1411
Attacks
90126
Dangerous Attacks
3949
Clearances Completed
2218
Crosses Completed
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Germain R. , Matsubara K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Hiraga S. , Rafael Elias ,
  • 57', Matsubara K. 🟨,
  • 63', Fukuoka S. , Kaneko D. ,
  • 63', Yonemoto T. , Nakano R. ,
  • 63', Appiah Tawiah H. , Suzuki T. ,
  • 64', Bruno Jose , Matsumoto M. ,
  • 76', Leo Gomes , Nishikubo S. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Suzuki K. (Own goal),
  • 82', 1 - 2, Rafael Elias , Marco Tulio (A),
  • 84', Kaneko S. , Furukawa Y. ,
  • 84', Uehara R. , Croux J. ,
  • 86', Kaneko D. 🟨,
  • 89', Marco Tulio , Sato K. ,
  • 90+1', Rafael Elias 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Júbilo Iwata
34%
Draw
29.6%
Kyoto Sanga
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 28.1% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 29.9% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Júbilo Iwata's form might have worsened.
  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyoto Sanga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Júbilo Iwata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.29)
    3.2
    (3.34)
    2.58
    (3.03)
    6.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 25.5%74.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 4.
    • Recent matches Iwata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Kyoto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Iwata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Iwata won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    07.04.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Júbilo Iwata 0:3
    05.11.2022 Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga 0:0
    Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto27156647:301751
    2Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    3Machida28155842:261650
    4Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    5Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo27861329:41-1230
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

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          Relegation ~ J2 League