Júbilo Iwata vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga
Result
1:2
20/07/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
96
Free Kicks
2112
Corner Kicks
13
Offsides
22
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Fouls
921
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
394419
Completed Passes
282304
Tackles
1411
Attacks
90126
Dangerous Attacks
3949
Clearances Completed
2218
Crosses Completed
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Germain R. , Matsubara K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Hiraga S. , Rafael Elias ,
  • 57', Matsubara K. 🟨,
  • 63', Fukuoka S. , Kaneko D. ,
  • 63', Yonemoto T. , Nakano R. ,
  • 63', Appiah Tawiah H. , Suzuki T. ,
  • 64', Bruno Jose , Matsumoto M. ,
  • 76', Leo Gomes , Nishikubo S. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Suzuki K. (Own goal),
  • 82', 1 - 2, Rafael Elias , Marco Tulio (A),
  • 84', Kaneko S. , Furukawa Y. ,
  • 84', Uehara R. , Croux J. ,
  • 86', Kaneko D. 🟨,
  • 89', Marco Tulio , Sato K. ,
  • 90+1', Rafael Elias 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Júbilo Iwata
34%
Draw
29.6%
Kyoto Sanga
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 28.1% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 29.9% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Júbilo Iwata's form might have worsened.
  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyoto Sanga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Júbilo Iwata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.29)
    3.2
    (3.34)
    2.58
    (3.03)
    6.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 25.5%74.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 4.
    • Recent matches Iwata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Kyoto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Iwata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Iwata won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    07.04.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Júbilo Iwata 0:3
    05.11.2022 Júbilo Iwata - Kyoto Sanga 0:0
    Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds24108632:24838
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2488821:23-232
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League