Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.612.19
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
57% (124/218)67% (231/345)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.612.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.482.47
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
57% (124/218)67% (231/345)
Long passes
33% (20/61)32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
55% (52/95)66% (86/131)
Crosses
56% (5/9)18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.111.18
Throw-ins
3141
Fouls
1215
Tackles
56% (9/16)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5053
Clearances
5214
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.470.48
Goals prevented
1.47-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Suzuki A. , Nakano S. (A),
  • 38', Hara T. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Suzuki Y. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Matsuda T. , Nakano R. ,
  • 46', Takeda S. , Sato K. ,
  • 64', Marco Tulio , Okugawa M. ,
  • 64', Hirato T. , Nagasawa S. ,
  • 71', Onose K. , Ikeda M. ,
  • 75', Fukuda S. , Yamada F. ,
  • 79', Oda Y. 🟨,
  • 82', Oda Y. , Nitta R. ,
  • 82', Suzuki A. , Watanabe K. ,
  • 90+2', Joao Pedro 🟨,
  • 90+3', Suzuki A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Okuno H. , Hiraoka T. ,
  • 90+6', Ikeda M. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 1 - 1, Sugai H. , Yamada F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
23.1%
Draw
24.8%
Kyoto Sanga
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 24.7% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 24.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.04
    (3.84)
    3.81
    (3.91)
    1.87
    (1.92)
    4.4%
    (3.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Kyoto will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 50.5%99.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Shonan Bellmare (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Shonan Bellmare (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shonan Bellmare will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
    • Shonan Bellmare has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kyoto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Kyoto is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Injury)
    • We predict that Kyoto will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 2:0
    30.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 0:1
    02.03.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 1:2
    21.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    12.03.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 0:2
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers141012123:1034
    2FC Tokyo14832129:1332
    3Machida13542221:2025
    4Verdy13630420:1624
    5Kawasaki Frontale14521620:2520
    6Urawa Reds14503620:1918
    7Mito14244421:2818
    8Yokohama F. Marinos14501821:2616
    9Kashiwa Reysol143101016:2111
    10Chiba14203913:269


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe13713223:1826
    2Gamba Osaka15453328:2125
    3Nagoya Grampus14623325:2025
    4Cerezo Osaka14441517:1421
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima14521621:1920
    6Shimizu S-Pulse14424418:1920
    7Okayama14424418:2420
    8Kyoto13431520:1819
    9Avispa Fukuoka15333618:2718
    10V-Varen Nagasaki14501814:2216

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)