Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Aceituno M. ⚽,
- 9', 1 - 1, Lacayo J. ⚽,
- 29', Anaya L. 🟨,
- 30', Silva F. 🟨,
- 33', Bermudez J. 🟨,
- 34', Barrios J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Lacayo J. ↓, Medrano Y. ↑,
- 61', Florez E. ↓, Borja E. ↑,
- 61', Bermudez J. ↓, Rocha D. ↑,
- 61', Aceituno M. ↓, Chavez Y. ↑,
- 68', Canales M. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
- 71', Fernandez C. ↓, Canales J. ↑,
- 73', Pericas H. ↓, Mendoza D. ↑,
- 74', Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. ↓, Cerrato M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Choloma
53.1% | Draw
24.5% | Juticalpa
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Choloma's performance.Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juticalpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Choloma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juticalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Choloma - Juticalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.98) |
3.72 ↑
(3.64) |
4.05 ↑
(3.11) |
10%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 9).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Juticalpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Choloma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Juticalpa?
Choloma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Choloma?
Juticalpa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Choloma - Juticalpa were as follows:
24.01.2026
Juticalpa
-
Choloma
1:0
25.10.2025
Choloma
-
Juticalpa
2:2
17.08.2025
Juticalpa
-
Choloma
3:2
Latest results of Choloma
Latest results of Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motagua | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24:17 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Marathon | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Olancho | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Choloma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Victoria | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:31 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
