Brescia vs Juve Stabia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia).

Serie B - Round 37
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	0.20
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
17	6
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
77% (277/358)	80% (318/398)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	0.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	0.02
Total shots
17	6
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
8	1
Shots inside the Box
13	1
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
33	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
18	20
Passes
77% (277/358)	80% (318/398)
Long passes
37% (18/49)	41% (27/66)
Passes in final third
63% (69/109)	53% (47/89)
Crosses
33% (7/21)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	0.38
Throw-ins
25	24
Fouls
20	18
Tackles
55% (12/22)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
68	58
Clearances
16	25
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.02	0.53
Goals prevented
0.02	0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Sgarbi L. 🟥,
44', Dickmann L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Moncini G. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
62', Mosti N. 🟨,
66', Mosti N. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
72', Verreth M. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
73', Jallow A. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
73', Galazzi N. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
75', Fortini N. ↓, Rocchetti Y. ↑,
76', Bellich M. ↓, Ruggero M. ↑,
76', Candellone L. ↓, Adorante A. ↑,
83', D'Andrea L. 🟨,
84', Piscopo K. 🟨,
85', Baldi M. ↓, Quaranta D. ↑,
90', Besaggio M. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
90+4', Rocchetti Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Brescia
37.1%

Draw
33.1%

Juve Stabia
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

31.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Brescia - Juve Stabia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.34)	2.82 ↓ (3.16)	3.18 ↑ (3.11)	6% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Brescia - Juve Stabia?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Juve Stabia (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 3.
In recent matches, Brescia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Juve Stabia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Juve Stabia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Brescia: Fogliata R. (Injury)
There will not play in Juve Stabia: Buglio D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Brescia: Bertagnoli M. (Injury) Verreth M. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Brescia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Juve Stabia?

Brescia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Brescia?

Juve Stabia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Brescia - Juve Stabia were as follows:

23.11.2024 Juve Stabia - Brescia 0:0

Latest results of Brescia

01.05.2025 Cittadella - Brescia 0:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Brescia - Pisa 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Brescia 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Brescia - Mantova 1:2 ✺

28.03.2025 Spezia - Brescia 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Juve Stabia

01.05.2025 Juve Stabia - Catanzaro 2:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia 2:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Cremonese - Juve Stabia 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Juve Stabia - Salernitana 1:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Cesena - Juve Stabia 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	34	21	9	4	68:29	39	72
2	Frosinone	34	19	12	3	65:33	32	69
3	Monza	34	20	9	5	53:27	26	69
4	Palermo	34	18	11	5	55:28	27	65
5	Catanzaro	33	14	12	7	51:40	11	54
6	Modena	33	14	9	10	44:29	15	51
7	Juve Stabia	34	11	15	8	41:41	0	48
8	Cesena	34	12	8	14	42:50	-8	44
9	Carrarese	34	10	12	12	44:45	-1	42
10	Sudtirol	34	8	16	10	36:37	-1	40
11	Mantova	34	11	7	16	39:48	-9	40
12	Sampdoria	34	10	10	14	34:44	-10	40
13	Avellino	34	10	10	14	38:54	-16	40
14	Padova	34	9	10	15	33:45	-12	37
15	Empoli	34	8	12	14	43:49	-6	36
16	Entella	34	8	11	15	32:47	-15	35
17	Bari	34	8	10	16	33:53	-20	34
18	Reggiana	34	8	9	17	33:52	-19	33
19	Pescara	34	7	11	16	47:61	-14	32
20	Spezia	34	7	9	18	32:51	-19	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation