Cerro vs Juventud de Las Piedras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Olmos A. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Disney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, Disney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Chances of winning


Cerro
32.8%
Draw
31.6%
Juventud de Las Piedras
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 30.8% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 29.9% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro's form might have worsened.
  • Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventud de Las Piedras's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventud de Las Piedras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.25)
    2.91
    (2.85)
    2.61
    (2.9)
    8.5%
    (14%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 1.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro 1:0
    08.03.2025 Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras 2:1
    25.08.2022 Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro 1:1
    Latest results of Cerro
    14.03.2026 Cerro - Progreso 0:1
    08.03.2026 Racing Montevideo - Cerro 1:0
    27.02.2026 Cerro - Boston River 1:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo751113:6716
    2Penarol751112:6616
    3Maldonado851212:8416
    4Montevideo City842211:7414
    5Nacional841311:8313
    6Liverpool M833210:8212
    7Danubio732211:10111
    8Central Esp832311:10111
    9Defensor Sp73226:5111
    10Wanderers73226:9-311
    11Cerro Largo83058:11-39
    12Albion72238:808
    13Boston River71243:7-45
    14Progreso71245:11-65
    15Juventud71157:12-54
    16CA Cerro70253:11-82

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